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Mufulira Wanderers vs Muza Fc

Zambia Zambia

Absa Cup
Sun, Apr 19, 2026
1 - 0
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Mufulira Wanderers advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Mufulira Wanderers
39%
Draws
30%
Muza Fc
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Muza Fc's 0.88 goals per match outpaces what Mufulira Wanderers have produced (0.75).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Mufulira Wanderers, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Mufulira Wanderers have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Mufulira Wanderers Clean Sheet 25%
Muza Fc Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mufulira Wanderers Muza Fc
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Absa Cup
Mufulira Wanderers vs Muza Fc
1:0
Feb 28, 2026 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Muza Fc
1:0
Sep 20, 2025 Super League
Muza Fc vs Mufulira Wanderers
0:1
Jan 11, 2025 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Muza Fc
4:1
Aug 24, 2024 Super League
Muza Fc vs Mufulira Wanderers
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mufulira Wanderers 33 / 100
Muza Fc 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mufulira Wanderers Muza Fc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUZ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muza Fc has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Mufulira Wanderers scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Mufulira Wanderers remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mufulira Wanderers VS Muza Fc
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mufulira Wanderers

(Home)
23 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
17 May
Mufulira Wanderers
0 : 0
Red Arrows
13 May
Green Buffaloes FC
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
03 May
Green Eagles
2 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
29 Apr
Mufulira Wanderers
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
Page 1 of 6

Muza Fc

(Away)
24 May
Muza Fc
2 : 1
Kabwe
20 May
Muza Fc
0 : 1
Nkwazi
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
02 May
Prison Leopards
0 : 2
Muza Fc
29 Apr
Muza Fc
0 : 3
Kansanshi
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Forest Myooye0
Mufulira Wanderers2
Mushitala0
Muza Fc1
Nampundwe0
Power Dynamos2
Roan United0
Nchanga Rangers2
Chirundu United3
Kabwe2
Kafue Celtic1
Zanaco2
Play It Forward2
Makeni All Stars1
Zambezi Portland0
Red Arrows3
Quarter-finals
Mufulira Wanderers1
Muza Fc0
Power Dynamos2
Nchanga Rangers0
Chirundu United1
Zanaco0
Play It Forward1
Red Arrows4
Semi-finals
Mufulira Wanderers0
Power Dynamos1
Chirundu United0
Red Arrows2
Final
Power Dynamos0
Red Arrows2