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Mufulira Wanderers vs Nchanga Rangers

Zambia Zambia

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Mufulira Wanderers and Nchanga Rangers finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nchanga Rangers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Mufulira Wanderers
44%
Draws
20%
Nchanga Rangers
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mufulira Wanderers come out ahead of Nchanga Rangers on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nchanga Rangers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Mufulira Wanderers Clean Sheet 20%
Nchanga Rangers Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mufulira Wanderers Nchanga Rangers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Nchanga Rangers
0:1
Aug 31, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Mufulira Wanderers
2:0
Mar 12, 2025 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Mufulira Wanderers
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Nchanga Rangers
2:0
Nov 22, 2017 Super League
Nchanga Rangers vs Mufulira Wanderers
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mufulira Wanderers 36 / 100
Nchanga Rangers 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mufulira Wanderers Nchanga Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NCH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Mufulira Wanderers found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Nchanga Rangers let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Mufulira Wanderers has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mufulira Wanderers VS Nchanga Rangers
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%