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Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mufulira Wanderers host Nkwazi in the Super League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Nkwazi have shipped 0.82 goals a game lately, while Mufulira Wanderers have conceded 0.86 and scored 0.75. Head-to-head, Mufulira Wanderers have won 2 to Nkwazi's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.50 vs 0.75, favoring Mufulira Wanderers. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Mufulira Wanderers
20%
Draws
70%
Nkwazi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Nkwazi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mufulira Wanderers come out ahead of Nkwazi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Nkwazi's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Mufulira Wanderers Clean Sheet 20%
Nkwazi Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mufulira Wanderers Nkwazi
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.64
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Super League
Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers
1:1
Oct 17, 2025 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi
1:1
Feb 22, 2025 Super League
Mufulira Wanderers vs Nkwazi
2:1
Oct 19, 2024 Super League
Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers
2:1
May 15, 2024 Super League
Nkwazi vs Mufulira Wanderers
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mufulira Wanderers 28 / 100
Nkwazi 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mufulira Wanderers Nkwazi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nkwazi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nkwazi let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Mufulira Wanderers scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Mufulira Wanderers remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mufulira Wanderers VS Nkwazi
0.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mufulira Wanderers

(Home)
03 Oct
Mufulira Wanderers
1 : 4
Green Eagles
23 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
17 May
Mufulira Wanderers
0 : 0
Red Arrows
13 May
Green Buffaloes FC
1 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
03 May
Green Eagles
2 : 0
Mufulira Wanderers
Page 1 of 6

Nkwazi

(Away)
03 Oct
Nkwazi
1 : 2
Roan United
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
20 May
Muza Fc
0 : 1
Nkwazi
17 May
Nkwazi
1 : 0
Kansanshi
03 May
Nkwazi
1 : 1
Zesco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Konkola Blades 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Zanaco 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Nkana 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 NAPSA Stars 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Muza Fc 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kansanshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Makeni All Stars 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Power Dynamos 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Nchanga Rangers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Trident 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Red Arrows 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Green Buffaloes FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Roan United 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Zesco 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kabwe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Nkwazi 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Mutondo Stars 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
9 Chirundu United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Mufulira Wanderers 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)