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Muglaspor vs Istanbulspor AS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Turkey Turkey

1. Lig Mugla Ataturk Stadyumu, Muğla
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Muglaspor host Istanbulspor AS in the 1. Lig. This one's hard to separate. Muglaspor have averaged 1.07 scored and 0.71 conceded recently, against Istanbulspor AS's 1.21 scored and 1.72 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 0.81) point toward Muglaspor. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Muglaspor
35%
Draws
28%
Istanbulspor AS
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Muglaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Muglaspor have won more games recently than Istanbulspor AS.
  • Model gives Muglaspor a 37% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 20%
Istanbulspor AS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muglaspor Istanbulspor AS
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 11 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.07 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muglaspor 49 / 100
Istanbulspor AS 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muglaspor Istanbulspor AS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muglaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Istanbulspor AS's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Muglaspor's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Muglaspor has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Istanbulspor AS registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Muglaspor VS Istanbulspor AS
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Muglaspor

(Home)
15 Oct
Muglaspor
0 : 3
Bursaspor
11 Oct
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1
Muglaspor
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
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Istanbulspor AS

(Away)
14 Oct
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 2
Istanbulspor AS
10 Oct
Istanbulspor AS
0 : 1
Erokspor
20 Sept
Manisa FK
0 : 1
Istanbulspor AS
14 Sept
Kayserispor
4 : 0
Istanbulspor AS
07 Sept
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 2
Igdir FK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kayserispor 10 8 1 1 22:5 25
2 Igdir FK 11 7 2 2 15:8 23
3 Bursaspor 10 7 1 2 20:9 22
4 Batman Petrolspor 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Mardin 1969 10 5 3 2 12:6 18
6 Keciorengucu 10 4 5 1 19:10 17
7 Sariyer 11 4 4 3 14:15 16
8 Antalyaspor 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
9 Bandirmaspor 11 3 5 3 16:8 14
10 Bodrumspor 11 3 5 3 13:10 14
11 Sivasspor 11 2 7 2 15:14 13
12 F. Karagumruk 10 3 4 3 13:13 13
13 Muglaspor 10 2 6 2 9:11 12
14 Manisa FK 10 2 4 4 15:16 10
15 Pendikspor 10 2 4 4 12:19 10
16 Erokspor 10 1 6 3 6:11 9
17 Umraniyespor 9 1 4 4 7:10 7
18 Vanspor FK 10 2 3 5 10:20 7
19 Istanbulspor AS 10 1 2 7 9:24 5
20 Boluspor 10 0 1 9 3:22 1
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)