Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Muglaspor vs Nevsehir

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 2 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Arslantas M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Lig Group 2 2024/2025 game between Muglaspor and Nevsehir finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muglaspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Muglaspor
30%
Draws
18%
Nevsehir
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Muglaspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Muglaspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Muglaspor are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.4%
Muglaspor Clean Sheet 68%
Nevsehir Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muglaspor Nevsehir
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 3
Draws 11 11
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.53
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2025 3. Lig Group 2
Muglaspor vs Nevsehir
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 3. Lig Group 2
Nevsehir vs Muglaspor
1:0
Mar 8, 2020 3. Lig Group 3
Muglaspor vs Nevsehir
2:0
Oct 26, 2019 3. Lig Group 3
Nevsehir vs Muglaspor
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Muglaspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Arslantas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Nevsehir Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muglaspor 95 / 100
Nevsehir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muglaspor Nevsehir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muglaspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Muglaspor remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Muglaspor scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Nevsehir has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Muglaspor VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Muglaspor

(Home)
18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Igdir FK
13 Sept
Sivasspor
1 : 1
Muglaspor
06 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2
Vanspor FK
01 Sept
Umraniyespor
0 : 1
Muglaspor
28 Aug
Muglaspor
2 : 0
Boluspor
Page 1 of 7

Nevsehir

(Away)
26 Apr
Nevsehir
3 : 0
Adiyaman FK
20 Apr
Mazidagi
9 : 0
Nevsehir
13 Apr
Beykoz Ishakli Spor
6 : 0
Nevsehir
06 Apr
Nevsehir
0 : 5
Balikesirspor
02 Apr
Nevsehir
0 : 5
Silivrispor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Muglaspor 30 18 7 5 42:19 61
2 Balikesirspor 30 17 5 8 54:27 56
3 Amasyaspor 30 13 10 7 48:36 49
4 Silivrispor 30 14 7 9 46:36 49
5 Tire 2021 FK 30 13 9 8 47:28 48
6 Mazidagi 30 10 16 4 34:18 46
7 Usak Belediyespor Kulubu 30 12 9 9 45:29 45
8 Etimesgut 30 12 9 9 37:32 45
9 Cayeli SK 30 11 11 8 33:29 44
10 Fatsa Bld. 30 11 6 13 31:39 39
11 Turk Metal 1963 30 9 9 12 37:46 36
12 Beykoz Ishakli Spor 30 10 6 14 42:41 36
13 Inegol Kafkas 30 9 8 13 34:38 35
14 Kelkit Bld. 30 7 11 12 31:37 32
15 Nevsehir 30 4 11 15 17:55 23
16 Adiyaman FK 30 1 4 25 14:82 4
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2024/2025 (Play Offs)