Sport Picks
Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC
India
Super Cup 2025 Kalinga Stadium, Bhubaneswar 
Match Events
6'
6'
Sub
Panwar S. In: Singh B.
Out: Panwar S.
43'
43'
Karelis N.
64'
64'
Chhangte L.
AI Match Summary
Mumbai City in this Super Cup 2025 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Mumbai City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Mumbai City lately — more wins on the board than Chennaiyin FC.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Mumbai City taking it.
- Mumbai City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mumbai City, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Mumbai City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Mumbai City Clean Sheet 20%
Chennaiyin FC Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mumbai City | Chennaiyin FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 19, 2026 ISL
Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC
1:0
Apr 23, 2025 Super Cup
Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC
4:0
Dec 21, 2024 ISL
Mumbai City vs Chennaiyin FC
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs Mumbai City
1:1
Feb 23, 2024 ISL
Chennaiyin FC vs Mumbai City
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Mumbai City Compare
Top Goalscorer Chhangte L.
2 Goals Assists Leader Karelis N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Chennaiyin FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mumbai City 85 / 100
Chennaiyin FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mumbai City Chennaiyin FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chennaiyin FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Mumbai City scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Mumbai City remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Mumbai City VS Chennaiyin FC
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Mumbai City
(Home) 21 May
Minerva Punjab
0 : 2 Mumbai City
15 May
Mohammedan
0 : 4 Mumbai City
05 May
Mumbai City
1 : 2 East Bengal
25 Apr
Bengaluru FC
0 : 0 Mumbai City
18 Apr
FC Goa
2 : 0 Mumbai City
Page 1 of 7
05 May
Mumbai City
1 : 2 East Bengal
05 Apr
Mumbai City
1 : 0 Odisha FC
08 Mar
Mumbai City
2 : 2 SC Delhi
01 Mar
Mumbai City
1 : 1 North East United
19 Feb
Mumbai City
1 : 0 Chennaiyin FC
Page 1 of 3
Chennaiyin FC
(Away) 16 May
Chennaiyin FC
1 : 2 Bengaluru FC
10 May
North East United
4 : 1 Chennaiyin FC
06 May
Minerva Punjab
1 : 0 Chennaiyin FC
25 Apr
Jamshedpur
4 : 1 Chennaiyin FC
21 Apr
Chennaiyin FC
0 : 0 Mohammedan
Page 1 of 6
10 May
North East United
4 : 1 Chennaiyin FC
06 May
Minerva Punjab
1 : 0 Chennaiyin FC
25 Apr
Jamshedpur
4 : 1 Chennaiyin FC
07 Mar
Kerala Blasters
0 : 1 Chennaiyin FC
01 Mar
Odisha FC
1 : 1 Chennaiyin FC
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Kerala Blasters2
East Bengal0
Mohun Bagan-
Churchill Brothers-
FC Goa3
Gokulam0
Odisha FC0
Minerva Punjab3
Bengaluru FC1
Inter Kashi2
Mumbai City4
Chennaiyin FC0
North East United6
Mohammedan0
Jamshedpur2
Hyderabad0
Quarter-finals
Kerala Blasters1
Mohun Bagan2
FC Goa2
Minerva Punjab1
Inter Kashi0
Mumbai City1
North East United0
Jamshedpur1
Semi-finals
Mohun Bagan1
FC Goa3
Mumbai City0
Jamshedpur1
Final
FC Goa3
Jamshedpur0