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Mumbai City vs Jamshedpur

India India

Super Cup 2025 Kalinga Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mumbai City play Jamshedpur in the Super Cup 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mumbai City averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Jamshedpur averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. In past meetings, Mumbai City won 1, Jamshedpur won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 9, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Mumbai City and 1.13 for Jamshedpur. This points to a Jamshedpur double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Mumbai City
21%
Draws
41%
Jamshedpur
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Jamshedpur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Mumbai City picked up more points recently compared to Jamshedpur.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Mumbai City Clean Sheet 21%
Jamshedpur Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mumbai City Jamshedpur
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.27
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 ISL
Jamshedpur vs Mumbai City
1:1
Apr 30, 2025 Super Cup
Mumbai City vs Jamshedpur
0:1
Jan 12, 2025 ISL
Mumbai City vs Jamshedpur
0:3
Sep 21, 2024 ISL
Jamshedpur vs Mumbai City
3:2
Mar 8, 2024 ISL
Jamshedpur vs Mumbai City
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mumbai City Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jamshedpur Compare

Top Goalscorer Tachikawa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mumbai City 38 / 100
Jamshedpur 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mumbai City Jamshedpur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jamshedpur or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mumbai City attacking → ← attacking Jamshedpur

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mumbai City scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Jamshedpur let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Mumbai City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jamshedpur lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

50 Points in last 5 53
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00