Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Munich 1860 vs Ulm

Germany Germany

3. Liga 2025/2026 Grünwalder Stadion, Munich
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Vukancic N.
46'
Sub
Althaus S. In: Dordan D.
Out: Althaus S.
46'
Sub
Wolfram M. In: Steinkotter J.
Out: Wolfram M.

AI Match Summary

The 3. Liga 2025/2026 game between Munich 1860 and Ulm finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Munich 1860.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

63%
Munich 1860
20%
Draws
17%
Ulm
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Munich 1860

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ulm come out ahead of Munich 1860 on wins alone.
  • Munich 1860 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Munich 1860 Clean Sheet 16%
Ulm Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Munich 1860 Ulm
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 5
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 3. Liga
Munich 1860 vs Ulm
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 3. Liga
Ulm vs Munich 1860
0:1
Mar 20, 2025 Club Friendly
Ulm vs Munich 1860
2:0
Mar 2, 2024 3. Liga
Munich 1860 vs Ulm
0:1
Oct 3, 2023 3. Liga
Ulm vs Munich 1860
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Munich 1860 Compare

Top Goalscorer Danhof T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haugen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Ulm Compare

Top Goalscorer Loder E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson Brown E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Munich 1860 84 / 100
Ulm 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Munich 1860 Ulm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Munich 1860 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Munich 1860 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Ulm's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Munich 1860 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Munich 1860 VS Ulm
1.5 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Munich 1860

(Home)
14 Aug
Memmingen
0 : 3
Munich 1860
07 Aug
Munich 1860
2 : 2
Augsburg II
01 Aug
1. FC Schweinfurt
2 : 2
Munich 1860
19 Jul
TSV Aindling
1 : 3
Munich 1860
11 Jul
Deisenhofen
0 : 2
Munich 1860
Page 1 of 6

Ulm

(Away)
14 Aug
Ulm
0 : 2
Kickers Offenbach
07 Aug
Stutt. Kickers
4 : 2
Ulm
01 Aug
Regensburg
1 : 0
Ulm
25 Jul
Ulm
0 : 4
VfB Stuttgart II
19 Jul
Ulm
3 : 1
Bayern II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VfL Osnabruck 38 24 8 6 66:34 80
2 Energie Cottbus 38 21 9 8 72:51 72
3 RW Essen 38 20 10 8 78:66 70
4 Duisburg 38 19 11 8 66:49 68
5 Hansa Rostock 38 18 13 7 74:49 67
6 Verl 38 18 10 10 82:48 64
7 Alemannia Aachen 38 19 7 12 76:57 64
8 Munich 1860 38 15 11 12 54:53 56
9 Wehen 38 15 8 15 54:52 53
10 Mannheim 38 15 7 16 59:72 52
11 FC Viktoria Koln 38 15 6 17 51:53 51
12 Ingolstadt 38 13 10 15 65:56 49
13 Regensburg 38 14 7 17 54:58 49
14 VfB Stuttgart II 38 13 7 18 57:69 46
15 Saarbrucken 38 10 14 14 51:57 44
16 Hoffenheim II 38 12 7 19 65:71 43
17 TSV Havelse 38 9 8 21 57:89 35
18 Aue 38 7 13 18 51:70 34
19 Ulm 38 9 6 23 49:78 33
20 1. FC Schweinfurt 38 5 6 27 38:87 21
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)