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Municipal de Tarija vs Nueva Cliza

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-3, with Nueva Cliza advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Municipal de Tarija
28%
Draws
22%
Nueva Cliza
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Municipal de Tarija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Nueva Cliza haven't matched Municipal de Tarija's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Municipal de Tarija's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Municipal de Tarija have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Nueva Cliza, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Municipal de Tarija Clean Sheet 14%
Nueva Cliza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal de Tarija Nueva Cliza
Matches Played 24 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Municipal de Tarija vs Nueva Cliza
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Nueva Cliza vs Municipal de Tarija
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal de Tarija 48 / 100
Nueva Cliza 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal de Tarija Nueva Cliza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MDT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal de Tarija found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (24 games).

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Nueva Cliza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Municipal de Tarija remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Municipal de Tarija VS Nueva Cliza
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal de Tarija

(Home)
25 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
0 : 3
Nueva Cliza
11 Oct
Nueva Cliza
3 : 1
Municipal de Tarija
27 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
1 : 0
Pucarani
20 Sept
Municipal de Tarija
8 : 0
Universitario de Pando
13 Sept
Tiquipaya
2 : 2
Municipal de Tarija
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Nueva Cliza

(Away)
09 Nov
San Juan FC
3 : 0
Nueva Cliza
01 Nov
Nueva Cliza
1 : 1
San Juan FC
25 Oct
Municipal de Tarija
0 : 3
Nueva Cliza
11 Oct
Nueva Cliza
3 : 1
Municipal de Tarija
27 Sept
Nueva Cliza
0 : 0
Nacional Sucre
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Deportivo Shalon3
San Juan FC6
Nueva Cliza6
Municipal de Tarija1
Fancesa2
Universitario de Sucre7
Olympic FC1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
CD Guadalajara2
Real Potosi4
Pucarani1
Rio San Juan2
CD Ingenio4
Tiquipaya7
Torre Fuerte3
1 de Mayo4
Quarter-finals
San Juan FC4
Nueva Cliza1
Universitario de Sucre4
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
Real Potosi2
Rio San Juan0
Tiquipaya1
1 de Mayo2
Semi-finals
San Juan FC6
Universitario de Sucre3
Real Potosi3
1 de Mayo2
Final
San Juan FC1
Real Potosi5