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Municipal Limeno vs Aguila - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Copa Presidente
Wed, Oct 7, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Aguila have shipped 1.14 goals a game lately, while Municipal Limeno have conceded 1.26 and scored 1.33. Past meetings favor Municipal Limeno slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 14, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.44, favoring Aguila. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Municipal Limeno
15%
Draws
68%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Aguila carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aguila's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Aguila arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Municipal Limeno, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Municipal Limeno Clean Sheet 16%
Aguila Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Limeno Aguila
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2026 Copa Presidente
Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
0:0
Oct 7, 2026 Copa Presidente
Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
0:0
Sep 10, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Municipal Limeno
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal Limeno 23 / 100
Aguila 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Limeno Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Municipal Limeno scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Aguila let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 0.60 goals per match.

Municipal Limeno has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Municipal Limeno VS Aguila
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal Limeno

(Home)
04 Oct
Platense Municipal
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
02 Oct
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
27 Sept
Municipal Limeno
1 : 3
FAS
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2
Municipal Limeno
13 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 2
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

Aguila

(Away)
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1
Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Batanecos 0
Luis Angel Firpo 5
Alianza FC 4
Metapan 2
Municipal Limeno 2
El Roble de Ilobasco 1
Aguila 8
Izalco 3
FAS 9
Dragon 2
Platense Municipal 1
Fuerte San Francisco 2
Cacahuatique 3
Hercules 2
Inter Santa Tecla 6
Zacatecoluca FC 1
Quarter-finals
Luis Angel Firpo -
Alianza FC -
Municipal Limeno -
Aguila -
FAS -
Fuerte San Francisco -
Cacahuatique -
Inter Santa Tecla -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -