Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Municipal Limeno vs Aguila

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Argueta J. C.
90' Event
Ferman J.

AI Match Summary

Municipal Limeno in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Municipal Limeno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Municipal Limeno
30%
Draws
37%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Municipal Limeno haven't matched Aguila's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Municipal Limeno Clean Sheet 19%
Aguila Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Limeno Aguila
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 12 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.14 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2026 Copa Presidente
Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
0:0
Oct 7, 2026 Copa Presidente
Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
0:0
Sep 10, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
0:0
Apr 5, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Aguila
2:0
Feb 8, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Municipal Limeno
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Municipal Limeno Compare

Top Goalscorer Argueta J. C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferman J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Aguila Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal Limeno 32 / 100
Aguila 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Limeno Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal Limeno's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Aguila's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Municipal Limeno remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Municipal Limeno VS Aguila
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal Limeno

(Home)
27 Sept
Municipal Limeno
1 : 3
FAS
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2
Municipal Limeno
13 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 2
Municipal Limeno
10 Sept
Municipal Limeno
0 : 0
Aguila
06 Sept
Atletico Balboa
0 : 2
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

Aguila

(Away)
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
10 Sept
Municipal Limeno
0 : 0
Aguila
06 Sept
Aguila
2 : 2
Alianza FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 22 16 5 1 49:16 53
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 5 4 34:20 44
3 Alianza FC 22 11 4 7 36:30 37
4 Inter Santa Tecla 22 10 6 6 27:25 36
5 Municipal Limeno 22 10 5 7 33:21 35
6 Aguila 22 10 5 7 27:24 35
7 Metapan 22 6 9 7 23:30 27
8 Cacahuatique 22 6 8 8 24:28 26
9 Platense Municipal 22 4 8 10 24:31 20
10 Hercules 22 4 7 11 27:43 19
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 2 8 12 18:35 14
12 Zacatecoluca FC 22 3 4 15 23:42 13
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)