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Municipal Limeno vs Inca Aruba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
Fuentes M.
79' Event
Robles G.
90' Event
Argueta J. C.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division game between Municipal Limeno and Inca Aruba finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Municipal Limeno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Municipal Limeno
20%
Draws
58%
Inca Aruba
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Inca Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Municipal Limeno carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Municipal Limeno Clean Sheet 19%
Inca Aruba Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Limeno Inca Aruba
Matches Played 27 14
Wins 11 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.33 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Primera Division
Inca Aruba vs Municipal Limeno
2:1
Jul 29, 2026 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Inca Aruba
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Municipal Limeno Compare

Top Goalscorer Robles G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Argueta J. C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Inca Aruba Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal Limeno 32 / 100
Inca Aruba 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Limeno Inca Aruba

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inca Aruba Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal Limeno scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

Inca Aruba let in goals in 79% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Municipal Limeno went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Municipal Limeno VS Inca Aruba
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal Limeno

(Home)
04 Oct
Platense Municipal
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
02 Oct
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
27 Sept
Municipal Limeno
1 : 3
FAS
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2
Municipal Limeno
13 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 2
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

Inca Aruba

(Away)
05 Oct
FAS
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
02 Oct
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Municipal Limeno
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
19 Sept
Inca Aruba
2 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
2 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
3 FAS 12 7 3 2 22:11 24
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Alianza FC 12 4 6 2 19:17 18
7 Municipal Limeno 14 5 2 7 19:19 17
8 Platense Municipal 14 4 4 6 15:19 16
9 Inca Aruba 14 4 4 6 12:23 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Cacahuatique 14 2 5 7 14:24 11
12 Fuerte San Francisco 14 1 6 7 9:23 9
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)