Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Municipal vs Deportivo Mixco

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2025/2026 Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera, Guatemala City
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Martinez J.
26'
Sub
Lopez E. In: Matos Y.
Out: Lopez E.
45'
Mendez D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2025/2026 game between Municipal and Deportivo Mixco finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Municipal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Municipal
6%
Draws
4%
Deportivo Mixco
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Municipal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Municipal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Municipal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Municipal Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Mixco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Deportivo Mixco
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 22 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Deportivo Mixco
5:0
May 6, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Municipal
0:2
Apr 26, 2026 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Deportivo Mixco
3:0
Mar 4, 2026 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Municipal
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Liga Nacional
Deportivo Mixco vs Municipal
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Municipal Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Matos Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Deportivo Mixco Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal 95 / 100
Deportivo Mixco 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Deportivo Mixco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (35 games).

Solid form: Municipal remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Deportivo Mixco let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Municipal VS Deportivo Mixco
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal

(Home)
24 May
Xelaju
1 : 2
Municipal
17 May
Municipal
4 : 1
Xelaju
10 May
Municipal
5 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
06 May
Deportivo Mixco
0 : 2
Municipal
03 May
Municipal
2 : 0
Guastatoya
Page 1 of 7

Deportivo Mixco

(Away)
10 May
Municipal
5 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
06 May
Deportivo Mixco
0 : 2
Municipal
02 May
Deportivo Mixco
2 : 0
Coban Imperial
29 Apr
Coban Imperial
2 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
26 Apr
Municipal
3 : 0
Deportivo Mixco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelaju22116534:1939
2Municipal22115632:2138
3Deportivo Mixco22106630:2636
4Comunicaciones22112928:2635
5Antigua2297634:2934
6Coban Imperial2288629:2232
7Guastatoya2287729:2131
8Marquense22931025:2930
9Mictlan2276925:3627
10Malacateco22641219:2522
11Aurora F.C.22481014:3020
12Deportivo Achuapa22541317:3219
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)