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Municipal vs Petapa Prediction & H2H Stats

Guatemala Guatemala

Liga Nacional 2018/2019 Estadio Doroteo Guamuch Flores, Guatemala City
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Mendez J.
25' Event
Alvarado C.
28' Event
Hansen J.

AI Match Summary

Municipal in this Liga Nacional 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 6-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Municipal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Municipal
20%
Draws
0%
Petapa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Municipal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Municipal have won more games recently than Petapa.
  • Municipal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Nacional 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Municipal here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Municipal Clean Sheet 68%
Petapa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Municipal Petapa
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 22 4
Draws 7 4
Losses 3 22
Goals Scored 1.81 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2019 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Petapa
6:1
Jan 31, 2019 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Municipal
2:3
Oct 21, 2018 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Petapa
1:0
Aug 18, 2018 Liga Nacional
Petapa vs Municipal
0:1
Mar 11, 2018 Liga Nacional
Municipal vs Petapa
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Municipal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarado C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Petapa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Municipal 95 / 100
Petapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Municipal Petapa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Municipal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Municipal scored in 88% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Petapa conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Municipal remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Municipal VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Municipal

(Home)
25 Sept
Municipal
3 : 0
Suchitepequez
14 Sept
Municipal
2 : 2
Malacateco
10 Sept
Aurora F.C.
1 : 2
Municipal
06 Sept
Municipal
0 : 0
Deportivo San Pedro
30 Aug
Comunicaciones
0 : 1
Municipal
Page 1 of 7

Petapa

(Away)
05 May
Petapa
0 : 3
Siquinala
02 May
Comunicaciones
5 : 0
Petapa
27 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2
Malacateco
24 Apr
Sanarate
4 : 1
Petapa
19 Apr
Petapa
1 : 2
Deportivo Chiantla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antigua 22 12 5 5 36:20 41
2 Coban Imperial 22 12 4 6 35:25 40
3 Comunicaciones 22 11 6 5 32:14 39
4 Municipal 22 10 6 6 37:22 36
5 Malacateco 22 10 6 6 24:20 36
6 Guastatoya 22 9 8 5 27:16 35
7 Deportivo Chiantla 22 8 6 8 21:25 30
8 Xelaju 22 8 5 9 27:25 29
9 Siquinala 22 7 5 10 23:25 26
10 Iztapa 22 7 4 11 21:28 25
11 Sanarate 22 7 2 13 22:38 23
12 Petapa 22 2 1 19 12:59 7
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2018/2019 (Clausura - Play Offs)