Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mura vs O. Ljubljana

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga Mestni stadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Caks R.
Assist: Korosec A.
43'
Proleta B.
43'
Bristric A.

AI Match Summary

The Prva liga game between Mura and O. Ljubljana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mura.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mura
22%
Draws
18%
O. Ljubljana
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mura

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • O. Ljubljana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Mura a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Prva liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Mura Clean Sheet 68%
O. Ljubljana Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mura O. Ljubljana
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 6 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Prva liga
Mura vs O. Ljubljana
1:0
Apr 4, 2026 Prva liga
Mura vs O. Ljubljana
0:0
Jan 31, 2026 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Mura
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Prva liga
Mura vs O. Ljubljana
0:2
Jul 19, 2025 Prva liga
O. Ljubljana vs Mura
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mura Compare

Top Goalscorer Caks R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

O. Ljubljana Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mura 68 / 100
O. Ljubljana 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mura O. Ljubljana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mura scored in 65% of their last 26 games.

O. Ljubljana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 26 matches.

Mura went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: O. Ljubljana has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mura VS O. Ljubljana
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mura

(Home)
25 Jul
Mura
1 : 0
O. Ljubljana
17 Jul
Celje
2 : 2
Mura
05 Jul
Beltinci
4 : 1
Mura
04 Jul
Mura
1 : 1
Noah
26 Jun
Sturm Graz
5 : 0
Mura
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O. Ljubljana

(Away)
25 Jul
Mura
1 : 0
O. Ljubljana
18 Jul
O. Ljubljana
0 : 2
Bravo
11 Jul
O. Ljubljana
0 : 1
LNZ Cherkasy
05 Jul
O. Ljubljana
1 : 3
Rudes
04 Jul
O. Ljubljana
1 : 1
CFR Cluj
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nafta 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
2 Bravo 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 Maribor 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
4 Koper 3 1 2 0 5:3 5
5 Grosuplje 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
6 Mura 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
7 O. Ljubljana 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
8 Celje 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
9 Aluminij 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
10 Radomlje 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)