Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Murallas de Ceuta FC vs Algeciras

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 10 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Algeciras in this Tercera Division - Group 10 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Algeciras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Murallas de Ceuta FC
33%
Draws
40%
Algeciras
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Algeciras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Algeciras lately — more wins on the board than Murallas de Ceuta FC.
  • Algeciras are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Algeciras have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Murallas de Ceuta FC Clean Sheet 20%
Algeciras Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murallas de Ceuta FC Algeciras
Matches Played 30 40
Wins 7 19
Draws 9 12
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Algeciras vs Murallas de Ceuta FC
2:2
Oct 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Murallas de Ceuta FC vs Algeciras
0:1
Mar 21, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Murallas de Ceuta FC vs Algeciras
1:2
Nov 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Algeciras vs Murallas de Ceuta FC
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murallas de Ceuta FC 28 / 100
Algeciras 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murallas de Ceuta FC Algeciras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.25 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Murallas de Ceuta FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Murallas de Ceuta FC found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Algeciras conceded in 45% of 40 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Algeciras
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CD Alcala382311468:2180
2Mairena382171054:3070
3Ayamonte381912763:3369
4Marinaleda381991052:3366
5Linense381712950:3263
6Pozoblanco3817111044:3362
7Los Barrios381691342:4157
8Atl. Onubense (Huelva B)3815111261:4756
9Cordoba B381316938:3755
10Cadiz B3814121242:4154
11UD Los Palacios381581540:4553
12Coria C.F.381481656:4750
13Puerto Real CF381471732:3949
14Sevilla C3812121442:4048
15Algeciras3811131448:5346
16Sanluqueno381281836:4144
17Portuense381271939:5643
18Murallas de Ceuta FC381181929:4241
19Dos Hermanas38472724:9219
20AD Cartaya38462825:8218