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Murchante vs CD Lourdes

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021
Murchante Logo

Murchante

1 - 1
FT
CD Lourdes Logo

CD Lourdes

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Murchante
15%
Draws
16%
CD Lourdes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Murchante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Murchante have won more games recently than CD Lourdes.
  • Win probability leans Murchante's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Murchante Clean Sheet 20%
CD Lourdes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murchante CD Lourdes
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 0.94 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs CD Lourdes
1:1
Nov 14, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Lourdes vs Murchante
0:0
May 17, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Lourdes vs Murchante
0:0
Jan 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs CD Lourdes
2:0
May 13, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs CD Lourdes
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murchante 85 / 100
CD Lourdes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murchante CD Lourdes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murchante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Lourdes has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Murchante has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Away concern: CD Lourdes has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Murchante VS CD Lourdes
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Murchante

(Home)
30 Apr
Murchante
1 : 0
CD Gares
24 Apr
Pamplona
0 : 0
Murchante
10 Apr
Murchante
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 Apr
CD Beti Onak
0 : 1
Murchante
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
Page 1 of 7

CD Lourdes

(Away)
04 Oct
CD Lourdes
1 : 3
CD Sant Jordi
27 Sept
CD Sant Jordi
1 : 0
CD Lourdes
26 Jun
CD Lourdes
4 : 1
Txantrea
19 Jun
Subiza
1 : 0
CD Lourdes
12 Jun
CD Lourdes
2 : 3
CD River Ega
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD San Juan 20 9 8 3 21:9 35
2 Beti Kozkor 20 9 6 5 23:18 33
3 Valle Egues 20 9 5 6 31:23 32
4 Huarte 20 7 9 4 29:23 30
5 Pamplona 20 8 6 6 28:18 30
6 Burlades 20 7 5 8 22:30 26
7 CD Beti Onak 20 5 9 6 26:25 24
8 CD Corellano 20 6 6 8 24:29 24
9 Txantrea 20 5 8 7 23:29 23
10 Subiza 20 4 9 7 25:28 21
11 CD River Ega 20 3 5 12 23:43 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 20 14 5 1 32:14 47
2 Cirbonero 20 8 8 4 35:21 32
3 CD Ardoi 20 8 8 4 26:15 32
4 CD Cantolagua 20 8 7 5 28:19 31
5 Cortes 20 7 7 6 18:21 28
6 Murchante 20 5 9 6 19:19 24
7 Pena Azagresa 20 7 3 10 24:33 24
8 CD Baztan 20 4 8 8 19:27 20
9 CD Fontellas 20 6 2 12 18:37 20
10 CD Lourdes 20 4 7 9 18:26 19
11 Bidezarra 20 5 4 11 18:23 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 15 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)