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Murchante vs Cortes

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022
Murchante Logo

Murchante

0 - 1
FT
Cortes Logo

Cortes

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 game between Murchante and Cortes finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Murchante
20%
Draws
6%
Cortes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Murchante

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cortes come out ahead of Murchante on wins alone.
  • 74% — that's where the model lands on Murchante taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Murchante Clean Sheet 68%
Cortes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murchante Cortes
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 5 4
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Cortes
0:1
Oct 30, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Murchante
3:0
Jan 17, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Cortes
2:2
Oct 25, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Murchante
1:1
Mar 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Murchante vs Cortes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murchante 95 / 100
Cortes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murchante Cortes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murchante Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Murchante stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Murchante scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Cortes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cortes
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Murchante

(Home)
30 Apr
Murchante
1 : 0
CD Gares
24 Apr
Pamplona
0 : 0
Murchante
10 Apr
Murchante
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 Apr
CD Beti Onak
0 : 1
Murchante
27 Mar
Murchante
2 : 1
CD Corellano
Page 1 of 6

Cortes

(Away)
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Cortes
0 : 1
Pamplona
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
18 Apr
Cortes
1 : 2
CA Artajones
12 Apr
Subiza
4 : 1
Cortes
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cirbonero 30 20 9 1 50:12 69
2 Subiza 30 20 4 6 62:24 64
3 Txantrea 30 16 7 7 46:26 55
4 Huarte 30 14 9 7 58:40 51
5 CD Cantolagua 30 14 8 8 49:33 50
6 Cortes 30 14 6 10 39:24 48
7 CD Beti Onak 30 12 8 10 37:30 44
8 Ezcabarte 30 10 10 10 41:39 40
9 Pamplona 30 11 5 14 24:30 38
10 Azkoyen 30 10 7 13 32:51 37
11 Valle Egues 30 11 4 15 38:49 37
12 Burlades 30 8 9 13 35:39 33
13 Murchante 30 9 5 16 29:50 32
14 Beti Kozkor 30 8 4 18 20:41 28
15 CD Corellano 30 6 5 19 27:52 23
16 CD Gares 30 4 6 20 20:67 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2021/2022 (Play Offs)