Sport Picks
Murcia vs Atl. Madrid B
Spain
Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Enrique Roca, Murcia 
Match Events
7'
7'
Gil O.
32'
32'
Sub
Gil O. In: Moyita S.
Out: Gil O.
33'
33'
Garcia H. J.
AI Match Summary
The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Murcia and Atl. Madrid B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Murcia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Murcia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Murcia carry the better recent record into this one.
- 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Murcia Clean Sheet 20%
Atl. Madrid B Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Murcia | Atl. Madrid B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.54 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Murcia
4:0
Apr 5, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Atl. Madrid B
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Murcia
1:1
Mar 7, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Atl. Madrid B vs Murcia
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Atl. Madrid B
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Murcia Compare
Top Goalscorer Gil O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jorquera Romero J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Atl. Madrid B Compare
Top Goalscorer Ortiz A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Murcia 36 / 100
Atl. Madrid B 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Murcia Atl. Madrid B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Atl. Madrid B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Murcia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Atl. Madrid B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Solid form: Murcia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Murcia VS Atl. Madrid B
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Murcia
(Home) 19 Sept
Murcia
2 : 1 CE Europa
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4 Murcia
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0 Murcia
09 Sept
Mensajero
1 : 2 Murcia
06 Sept
Murcia
4 : 0 Teruel
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Murcia
2 : 1 CE Europa
06 Sept
Murcia
4 : 0 Teruel
01 Aug
Murcia
2 : 1 Eldense
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0 Eldense
10 May
Murcia
1 : 2 Betis B
Page 1 of 3
Atl. Madrid B
(Away) 25 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
1 : 3 Villarreal B
19 Sept
Huesca
0 : 0 Atl. Madrid B
13 Sept
Atl. Madrid B
4 : 0 Murcia
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2 Atl. Madrid B
30 Aug
Atl. Madrid B
2 : 2 Torremolinos
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Huesca
0 : 0 Atl. Madrid B
06 Sept
Hercules
0 : 2 Atl. Madrid B
22 Aug
CD Extremadura
3 : 0 Atl. Madrid B
08 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 0 Atl. Madrid B
30 May
Ponferradina
0 : 0 Atl. Madrid B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldense | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 57:39 | 69 |
| 2 | Sabadell | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 53:27 | 68 |
| 3 | Atl. Madrid B | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:44 | 67 |
| 4 | Villarreal B | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 54:32 | 63 |
| 5 | CE Europa | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 55:50 | 60 |
| 6 | FC Cartagena SAD | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 37:38 | 57 |
| 7 | Antequera | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 47:44 | 56 |
| 8 | Algeciras | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 40:41 | 55 |
| 9 | Hercules | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43:41 | 54 |
| 10 | Murcia | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 43:40 | 52 |
| 11 | Alcorcon | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 44:38 | 51 |
| 12 | UD Ibiza | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 13 | Teruel | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 27:33 | 49 |
| 14 | Gimnastic de Tarragona | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 40:49 | 47 |
| 15 | Torremolinos | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 45:51 | 46 |
| 16 | Betis B | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 48:59 | 45 |
| 17 | Tarazona | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 31:40 | 45 |
| 18 | Marbella | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 36:55 | 34 |
| 19 | Sanluqueno | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 27:53 | 31 |
| 20 | Sevilla B | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 21:44 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
