Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Murcia vs Eldense

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 Estadio Enrique Roca, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Benito P. A. P.
5'
Vega O.
33' Event
Jorquera Romero J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Murcia and Eldense finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Murcia
6%
Draws
4%
Eldense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Eldense come out ahead of Murcia on wins alone.
  • Murcia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Murcia Clean Sheet 16%
Eldense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murcia Eldense
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Eldense
3:0
Oct 26, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Eldense vs Murcia
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Murcia vs Eldense
3:1
May 27, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Murcia vs Eldense
1:2
Jan 14, 2023 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Eldense vs Murcia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Benito P. A. P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jorquera Romero J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Eldense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murcia 84 / 100
Eldense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murcia Eldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Murcia scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Eldense has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Murcia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Murcia VS Eldense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Murcia

(Home)
25 Jul
Port Vale
1 : 0
Murcia
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0
Eldense
16 May
Torremolinos
1 : 3
Murcia
10 May
Murcia
1 : 2
Betis B
03 May
Sabadell
2 : 2
Murcia
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Eldense

(Away)
25 Jul
Eldense
3 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
22 Jul
Valencia
3 : 0
Eldense
17 Jul
Eldense
1 : 2
Millwall
24 May
Murcia
3 : 0
Eldense
16 May
Eldense
2 : 1
Atl. Madrid B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eldense381912757:3969
2Sabadell381814653:2768
3Atl. Madrid B381910964:4467
4Villarreal B381615754:3263
5CE Europa3816121055:5060
6FC Cartagena SAD3815121137:3857
7Antequera381681447:4456
8Algeciras3815101340:4155
9Hercules3814121243:4154
10Murcia3814101443:4052
11Alcorcon3812151144:3851
12UD Ibiza3813111444:3850
13Teruel3812131327:3349
14Gimnastic de Tarragona381381740:4947
15Torremolinos3811131445:5146
16Betis B381291748:5945
17Tarazona3811121531:4045
18Marbella38972236:5534
19Sanluqueno387102127:5331
20Sevilla B385132021:4428
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)