Sport Picks
Murdoch University Melville vs Gwelup Croatia SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia
WA State League Len Shearer Reserve, Perth 
Match Events
36'
36'
Nyabinde T.
40'
40'
McDermott S.
55'
55'
Giron Marulanda G.
AI Match Summary
Murdoch University Melville in this WA State League matchup, with the score ending 5-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Murdoch University Melville.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Murdoch University Melville
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Murdoch University Melville have won more games recently than Gwelup Croatia SC.
- Murdoch University Melville are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Murdoch University Melville Clean Sheet 11%
Gwelup Croatia SC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Murdoch University Melville | Gwelup Croatia SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Gwelup Croatia SC
5:3
May 9, 2026 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Murdoch University Melville
2:2
Aug 2, 2025 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Gwelup Croatia SC
2:3
May 17, 2025 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Murdoch University Melville
3:1
Aug 31, 2024 WA State League
Gwelup Croatia SC vs Murdoch University Melville
2:6
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Murdoch University Melville Compare
Top Goalscorer Giron Marulanda G.
2 Goals Assists Leader Nyabinde T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Gwelup Croatia SC Compare
Top Goalscorer McDermott S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Diarra O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Murdoch University Melville 40 / 100
Gwelup Croatia SC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Murdoch University Melville Gwelup Croatia SC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Murdoch University Melville scored in 93% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Gwelup Croatia SC conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 5.80 goals.
Gwelup Croatia SC's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Murdoch University Melville VS Gwelup Croatia SC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Murdoch University Melville
(Home) 22 Aug
Mandurah City
3 : 1 Murdoch University Melville
15 Aug
Kingsley Westside
1 : 3 Murdoch University Melville
08 Aug
Murdoch University Melville
0 : 3 UWA Nedlands
01 Aug
Murdoch University Melville
1 : 2 Curtin University
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3 Gwelup Croatia SC
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08 Aug
Murdoch University Melville
0 : 3 UWA Nedlands
01 Aug
Murdoch University Melville
1 : 2 Curtin University
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3 Gwelup Croatia SC
04 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
2 : 2 Floreat Athena
20 Jun
Murdoch University Melville
1 : 1 Inglewood Utd
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Gwelup Croatia SC
(Away) 22 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
4 : 4 Floreat Athena
18 Aug
Kingsley Westside
4 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
15 Aug
Quinns
2 : 0 Gwelup Croatia SC
01 Aug
Gwelup Croatia SC
2 : 1 Subiaco
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3 Gwelup Croatia SC
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18 Aug
Kingsley Westside
4 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
15 Aug
Quinns
2 : 0 Gwelup Croatia SC
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3 Gwelup Croatia SC
18 Jul
Cockburn City
0 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
04 Jul
Mandurah City
2 : 2 Gwelup Croatia SC
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Floreat Athena | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 57:24 | 52 |
| 2 | UWA Nedlands | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 48:25 | 47 |
| 3 | Mandurah City | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 47:39 | 36 |
| 4 | Joondalup City | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36:32 | 36 |
| 5 | Quinns | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 34:37 | 36 |
| 6 | Inglewood Utd | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26:24 | 33 |
| 7 | Kingsley Westside | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 35:36 | 29 |
| 8 | Gwelup Croatia SC | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 36:47 | 25 |
| 9 | Cockburn City | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 34:49 | 23 |
| 10 | Murdoch University Melville | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 38:46 | 22 |
| 11 | Subiaco | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 36:46 | 20 |
| 12 | Curtin University | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 19:41 | 13 |
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)
