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Murense vs Mallorca B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 game between Murense and Mallorca B finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mallorca B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Murense
35%
Draws
46%
Mallorca B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mallorca B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mallorca B come out ahead of Murense on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Mallorca B's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Mallorca B have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Murense Clean Sheet 10%
Mallorca B Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murense Mallorca B
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 2 22
Draws 5 8
Losses 23 6
Goals Scored 0.7 2.36
Goals Conceded 2.17 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 2.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Murense vs Mallorca B
1:2
Nov 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Murense
4:0
Jan 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Mallorca B vs Murense
2:1
Sep 9, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Murense vs Mallorca B
0:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murense 10 / 100
Mallorca B 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murense Mallorca B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mallorca B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Murense scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Mallorca B let in goals in 47% of their last 36 matches.

Murense went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mallorca B
0 Goals Scored 3.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Murense

(Home)
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1
Murense
23 Apr
Murense
0 : 0
Rotlet Molinar
17 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
3 : 1
Murense
14 Apr
Murense
0 : 4
Soller
08 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0
Murense
Page 1 of 6

Mallorca B

(Away)
04 Oct
Mallorca B
0 : 1
Alcoyano
27 Sept
La Nucia
2 : 0
Mallorca B
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
Mallorca B
0 : 0
Deportiva Minera
06 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 1
Mallorca B
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 40 32 5 3 105:27 101
2 Manacor 40 26 4 10 74:42 82
3 UD Poblense 40 24 8 8 89:24 80
4 Platges de Calvia 40 22 11 7 56:27 77
5 Llosetense 40 22 9 9 62:36 75
6 Santanyi 40 23 6 11 66:46 75
7 Constancia 40 20 9 11 54:38 69
8 PE Sant Jordi 40 20 8 12 57:46 68
9 Portmany 40 17 11 12 55:51 62
10 Collerense 40 17 7 16 45:49 58
11 Soller 40 16 9 15 46:52 57
12 Binissalem 40 13 12 15 40:44 51
13 Mercadal 40 11 12 17 54:51 45
14 Inter Ibiza 40 12 7 21 51:62 43
15 Rotlet Molinar 40 11 9 20 35:53 42
16 El Espinar Sant Rafel 40 10 10 20 48:64 40
17 Campos 40 10 10 20 38:64 40
18 Felanitx 40 9 11 20 43:65 38
19 Serverense 40 8 7 25 35:74 31
20 Murense 40 5 8 27 31:76 23
21 Son Veri 40 4 3 33 28:121 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 (Play Offs)