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Murense vs Portmany - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
Murense Logo

Murense

0 - 1
FT
Portmany Logo

Portmany

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portmany in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portmany.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Murense
35%
Draws
46%
Portmany
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Portmany

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Murense haven't matched Portmany's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Portmany taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Murense Clean Sheet 24%
Portmany Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murense Portmany
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 2 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 23 20
Goals Scored 0.7 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Murense vs Portmany
0:1
Oct 24, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Murense
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murense 25 / 100
Portmany 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murense Portmany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portmany Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Portmany conceded in 79% of 38 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Murense scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Murense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Portmany
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Murense

(Home)
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1
Murense
23 Apr
Murense
0 : 0
Rotlet Molinar
17 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
3 : 1
Murense
14 Apr
Murense
0 : 4
Soller
08 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0
Murense
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Portmany

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 40 32 5 3 105:27 101
2 Manacor 40 26 4 10 74:42 82
3 UD Poblense 40 24 8 8 89:24 80
4 Platges de Calvia 40 22 11 7 56:27 77
5 Llosetense 40 22 9 9 62:36 75
6 Santanyi 40 23 6 11 66:46 75
7 Constancia 40 20 9 11 54:38 69
8 PE Sant Jordi 40 20 8 12 57:46 68
9 Portmany 40 17 11 12 55:51 62
10 Collerense 40 17 7 16 45:49 58
11 Soller 40 16 9 15 46:52 57
12 Binissalem 40 13 12 15 40:44 51
13 Mercadal 40 11 12 17 54:51 45
14 Inter Ibiza 40 12 7 21 51:62 43
15 Rotlet Molinar 40 11 9 20 35:53 42
16 El Espinar Sant Rafel 40 10 10 20 48:64 40
17 Campos 40 10 10 20 38:64 40
18 Felanitx 40 9 11 20 43:65 38
19 Serverense 40 8 7 25 35:74 31
20 Murense 40 5 8 27 31:76 23
21 Son Veri 40 4 3 33 28:121 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 (Play Offs)