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Murense vs Soller - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 game between Murense and Soller finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Soller.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Murense
30%
Draws
47%
Soller
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Soller

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Soller carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Soller have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Murense Clean Sheet 20%
Soller Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murense Soller
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 2 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 23 23
Goals Scored 0.7 0.94
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.84
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Murense vs Soller
0:4
Dec 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Murense
1:0
Mar 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Murense vs Soller
0:1
Oct 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Murense
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murense 32 / 100
Soller 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murense Soller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Soller has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Soller lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Murense found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Soller
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Murense

(Home)
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1
Murense
23 Apr
Murense
0 : 0
Rotlet Molinar
17 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
3 : 1
Murense
14 Apr
Murense
0 : 4
Soller
08 Apr
UD Poblense
4 : 0
Murense
Page 1 of 6

Soller

(Away)
12 May
Soller
0 : 4
Constancia
05 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Soller
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
27 Apr
Binissalem
2 : 1
Soller
21 Apr
Soller
2 : 1
Inter Manacor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 40 32 5 3 105:27 101
2 Manacor 40 26 4 10 74:42 82
3 UD Poblense 40 24 8 8 89:24 80
4 Platges de Calvia 40 22 11 7 56:27 77
5 Llosetense 40 22 9 9 62:36 75
6 Santanyi 40 23 6 11 66:46 75
7 Constancia 40 20 9 11 54:38 69
8 PE Sant Jordi 40 20 8 12 57:46 68
9 Portmany 40 17 11 12 55:51 62
10 Collerense 40 17 7 16 45:49 58
11 Soller 40 16 9 15 46:52 57
12 Binissalem 40 13 12 15 40:44 51
13 Mercadal 40 11 12 17 54:51 45
14 Inter Ibiza 40 12 7 21 51:62 43
15 Rotlet Molinar 40 11 9 20 35:53 42
16 El Espinar Sant Rafel 40 10 10 20 48:64 40
17 Campos 40 10 10 20 38:64 40
18 Felanitx 40 9 11 20 43:65 38
19 Serverense 40 8 7 25 35:74 31
20 Murense 40 5 8 27 31:76 23
21 Son Veri 40 4 3 33 28:121 15
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 (Play Offs)