Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Murici vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Estádio José Gomes da Costa, Murici
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Edvelton
21'
Sub
Pedro Junior In: Thiago Magno
Out: Pedro Junior
22' Event
Eduardo Leite
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano game between Murici and Clube Sociedade Esportiva finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Murici.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Murici
11%
Draws
9%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Murici

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Clube Sociedade Esportiva come out ahead of Murici on wins alone.
  • Murici are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Alagoano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Murici Clean Sheet 68%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murici Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.14 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Murici
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Alagoano
Murici vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3:1
Feb 13, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0:3
Jan 29, 2025 Alagoano
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Murici
0:0
Jan 31, 2024 Copa Alagoas
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Murici
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Murici Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Itaperuna
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Clube Sociedade Esportiva Compare

Top Goalscorer Eduardo Leite
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murici 86 / 100
Clube Sociedade Esportiva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murici Clube Sociedade Esportiva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Clube Sociedade Esportiva conceded in 66% of 35 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Clube Sociedade Esportiva registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Murici found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Murici VS Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1.43 Goals Scored 1.5
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.88
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Murici

(Home)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
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Clube Sociedade Esportiva

(Away)
14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1
Juazeirense
30 May
ASA
0 : 0
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1 : 5
CSA
10 May
Jacuipense
2 : 1
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ASA752013:317
2CSA752010:117
3CRB74128:813
4Murici73228:511
5Cruzeiro Arapiraca72056:126
6Coruripe71245:115
7SC Penedense71242:85
8Clube Sociedade Esportiva71156:104
Promotion - Alagoano (Play Offs)