Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Murici vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas 2025 Estádio José Gomes da Costa, Murici
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Herick
Own Goal
30' Event
Geovanio
89' Event
Filipe Ramon

AI Match Summary

Clube Sociedade Esportiva in this Copa Alagoas 2025 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Murici
11%
Draws
9%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Murici

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Clube Sociedade Esportiva have won more games recently than Murici.
  • Win probability leans Murici's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Clube Sociedade Esportiva arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Clube Sociedade Esportiva, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Murici Clean Sheet 68%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murici Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 9
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.14 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Murici
3:0
Feb 7, 2026 Alagoano
Murici vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3:1
Feb 13, 2025 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0:3
Jan 29, 2025 Alagoano
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Murici
0:0
Jan 31, 2024 Copa Alagoas
Clube Sociedade Esportiva vs Murici
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Murici Compare

Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.71

Clube Sociedade Esportiva Compare

Top Goalscorer Geovanio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Filipe Ramon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murici 86 / 100
Clube Sociedade Esportiva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murici Clube Sociedade Esportiva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Clube Sociedade Esportiva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Clube Sociedade Esportiva has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Murici scored in 52% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Murici VS Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1.43 Goals Scored 1.5
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.88
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 88%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Murici

(Home)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
Page 1 of 7

Clube Sociedade Esportiva

(Away)
14 Jun
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 1
Juazeirense
30 May
ASA
0 : 0
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
24 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
0 : 0
Alagoinhas
17 May
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
1 : 5
CSA
10 May
Jacuipense
2 : 1
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Penedense641119:313
2Coruripe64027:312
3CRB632113:211
4Zumbi632112:311
5Murici631212:710
6Dimensao Capela62046:136
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Clube Sociedade Esportiva660011:118
2CSA62315:59
3ASA62138:57
4Guarany Alagoano61236:115
5Igaci60060:180
6Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense60061:290
Promotion - Copa Alagoas 2025 (Play Offs)