Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Murici vs Miguelense

Brazil Brazil

Copa Alagoas Estádio José Gomes da Costa, Murici
Murici Logo

Murici

6 - 0
FT
Miguelense Logo

Miguelense

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Marcelinho
26' Event
Leo Itaperuna
61' Event
Caua
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 6-0. The second leg ended 6-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Murici
15%
Draws
51%
Miguelense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Miguelense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Murici carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Murici are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Murici have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Murici, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Murici here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Murici Clean Sheet 20%
Miguelense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Murici Miguelense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 9 3
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.23 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Copa Alagoas
Murici vs Miguelense
6:0
Mar 26, 2017 Alagoano
Murici vs Miguelense
5:1
Feb 19, 2017 Alagoano
Miguelense vs Murici
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Murici Compare

Top Goalscorer Caua
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marcelinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Miguelense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Murici 67 / 100
Miguelense 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Murici Miguelense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Murici Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Miguelense conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Miguelense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Murici found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Murici VS Miguelense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Murici

(Home)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
Page 1 of 7

Miguelense

(Away)
17 May
Sporting FC
2 : 0
Miguelense
10 May
Miguelense
0 : 3
Sporting FC
02 May
Miguelense
0 : 1
Zumbi
25 Apr
Jacioba
0 : 1
Miguelense
22 Apr
Miguelense
4 : 0
Sao Domingos AL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSA 4 3 0 1 11:3 9
2 CRB 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
3 Coruripe 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
4 Cruzeiro Arapiraca 4 0 3 1 4:7 3
5 Dimensao Capela 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
6 Alianca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASA 5 4 1 0 10:1 13
2 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
3 Zumbi 5 2 1 2 8:9 7
4 Murici 5 2 0 3 7:5 6
5 SC Penedense 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
6 Miguelense 5 0 0 5 2:18 0
Promotion - Copa Alagoas (Play Offs)