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Muro vs Alicante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Muro in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Muro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Muro
15%
Draws
21%
Alicante
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Muro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Muro have won more games recently than Alicante.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Muro taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Muro Clean Sheet 19%
Alicante Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muro Alicante
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 15 6
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.18 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Muro vs Alicante
1:0
Sep 7, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Alicante vs Muro
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muro 85 / 100
Alicante 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muro Alicante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alicante let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Muro found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (39 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Muro has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Muro VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Muro

(Home)
27 Jul
Muro
0 : 4
Alcoyano
12 Sept
Muro
1 : 3
Alcoyano
06 Aug
Muro
2 : 0
Alcoyano
11 May
Muro
3 : 0
Villarreal C
07 May
Almoradi
0 : 5
Muro
Page 1 of 8

Alicante

(Away)
12 May
UD Altea
4 : 0
Alicante
06 May
Alicante
0 : 1
Levante B
29 Apr
Alicante
0 : 4
Eldense
21 Apr
CD Llosa
4 : 0
Alicante
15 Apr
Alicante
1 : 0
UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Catarroja CF 42 27 11 4 78:34 92
2 Levante B 42 28 8 6 74:32 92
3 Muro 42 25 6 11 83:56 81
4 Alzira 42 22 13 7 62:33 79
5 Acero 42 24 6 12 70:42 78
6 La Nucia 42 23 9 10 71:41 78
7 Torrevieja 42 21 11 10 64:36 74
8 Novelda CF 42 21 9 12 57:50 72
9 Castellon 42 20 9 13 47:40 69
10 Espanol de San Vicente 42 18 8 16 67:53 62
11 Villarreal C 42 18 8 16 82:59 62
12 Borriol 42 16 11 15 72:67 59
13 Atletico Saguntino 42 14 10 18 47:50 52
14 Eldense 42 14 8 20 54:64 50
15 Ribarroja 42 14 7 21 47:50 49
16 Crevillente 42 12 11 19 48:66 47
17 CD Llosa 42 11 12 19 55:67 45
18 SC Requena 42 12 7 23 57:72 43
19 Alicante 42 7 8 27 37:91 29
20 Mislata 42 7 6 29 45:92 27
21 UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo 42 5 12 25 35:78 27
22 UD Altea 42 5 6 31 29:108 21
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)