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Muro vs Denia

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Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013
Muro Logo

Muro

1 - 1
FT
Denia Logo

Denia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Muro
30%
Draws
28%
Denia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Muro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Muro lately — more wins on the board than Denia.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Muro taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 6 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Muro Clean Sheet 12%
Denia Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muro Denia
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.91 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Muro vs Denia
1:1
Oct 14, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Denia vs Muro
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muro 83 / 100
Denia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muro Denia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Denia conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Muro stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Muro found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (34 games).

Scoring Trends

Muro VS Denia
0.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Muro

(Home)
27 Jul
Muro
0 : 4
Alcoyano
12 Sept
Muro
1 : 3
Alcoyano
06 Aug
Muro
2 : 0
Alcoyano
11 May
Muro
3 : 0
Villarreal C
07 May
Almoradi
0 : 5
Muro
Page 1 of 7

Denia

(Away)
17 Aug
Denia
2 : 1
Levante B
18 May
CD Llosa
1 : 1
Denia
12 May
Denia
0 : 0
Ilicitano
05 May
Borriol
2 : 0
Denia
01 May
Denia
1 : 1
La Nucia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ilicitano 40 20 11 9 48:28 71
2 Novelda CF 40 21 8 11 50:37 71
3 Alzira 40 21 6 13 50:39 69
4 Castellon 40 18 14 8 58:29 68
5 La Nucia 40 16 14 10 47:36 62
6 Muro 40 17 8 15 53:47 59
7 Villarreal C 40 16 11 13 53:50 59
8 Borriol 40 14 15 11 52:39 57
9 Utiel 40 15 11 14 44:40 56
10 Eldense 40 12 17 11 45:39 53
11 Atletico Saguntino 40 15 8 17 36:46 53
12 Torrevieja 40 13 13 14 45:42 52
13 Espanol de San Vicente 40 13 11 16 44:48 50
14 CD Llosa 40 12 14 14 44:46 50
15 Gandia 40 13 11 16 36:39 50
16 Ribarroja 40 12 12 16 35:46 48
17 Acero 40 12 12 16 49:59 48
18 Burriana 40 12 11 17 40:57 47
19 Crevillente 40 10 15 15 41:52 45
20 Denia 40 10 12 18 43:56 42
21 Catarroja CF 40 6 10 24 29:67 28
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)