Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Muro vs Ilicitano

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilicitano in this Tercera Division - Group 6 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilicitano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Muro
15%
Draws
0%
Ilicitano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Muro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Ilicitano have won more games recently than Muro.
  • Muro are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ilicitano have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Muro Clean Sheet 12%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muro Ilicitano
Matches Played 30 43
Wins 10 16
Draws 4 12
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ilicitano vs Muro
2:0
Nov 6, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Muro vs Ilicitano
0:0
Feb 28, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Muro vs Ilicitano
2:4
Oct 4, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ilicitano vs Muro
3:1
Mar 23, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ilicitano vs Muro
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muro 83 / 100
Ilicitano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muro Ilicitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilicitano lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Muro scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ilicitano let in goals in 79% of their last 43 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ilicitano
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Muro

(Home)
27 Jul
Muro
0 : 4
Alcoyano
12 Sept
Muro
1 : 3
Alcoyano
06 Aug
Muro
2 : 0
Alcoyano
11 May
Muro
3 : 0
Villarreal C
07 May
Almoradi
0 : 5
Muro
Page 1 of 6

Ilicitano

(Away)
08 Aug
Ilicitano
1 : 3
Torrellano
05 Aug
UD Ibiza
3 : 1
Ilicitano
03 May
Ilicitano
1 : 3
Quintanar del Rey
26 Apr
CD Coria
4 : 0
Ilicitano
19 Apr
Ilicitano
0 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Saguntino 38 25 7 6 62:25 82
2 Ontinyent 38 23 5 10 62:39 74
3 Castellon 38 19 10 9 60:41 67
4 Ilicitano 38 19 10 9 64:39 67
5 Villarreal C 38 15 16 7 64:43 61
6 Alzira 38 18 6 14 57:50 60
7 Orihuela 38 16 8 14 50:46 56
8 Novelda CF 38 15 10 13 51:39 55
9 Rayo Ibense 38 15 10 13 38:40 55
10 Torre Levante 38 13 14 11 43:35 53
11 Crevillente 38 13 12 13 41:37 51
12 Torrevieja 38 14 9 15 46:47 51
13 Muro 38 13 10 15 44:51 49
14 Paterna 38 10 12 16 38:53 42
15 Catarroja CF 38 13 3 22 42:61 42
16 Borriol 38 10 10 18 36:51 40
17 CD Bunol 38 9 12 17 22:43 39
18 Espanol de San Vicente 38 8 14 16 34:48 38
19 UD Beniganim 38 7 12 19 41:66 33
20 Acero 38 5 10 23 28:69 25
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)