Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MuSa vs Ilves 2

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B Porin Stadion, Pori
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Tamminen E.
15' Event
Simeon E.
21' Event
Aloziem V.

AI Match Summary

The Kakkonen Group B game between MuSa and Ilves 2 finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilves 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
MuSa
20%
Draws
56%
Ilves 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ilves 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ilves 2 come out ahead of MuSa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ilves 2's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Kakkonen Group B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Ilves 2 have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
MuSa Clean Sheet 10%
Ilves 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MuSa Ilves 2
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.45 2.61
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 4, 2026 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves 2 vs MuSa
7:0
May 23, 2026 Kakkonen Group B
MuSa vs Ilves 2
3:4
Jun 28, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
MuSa vs Ilves 2
0:2
Apr 21, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves 2 vs MuSa
2:1
Apr 16, 2025 Suomen Cup
MuSa vs Ilves 2
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MuSa Compare

Top Goalscorer Aloziem V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Simeon E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ilves 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Syrjanen S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tamminen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MuSa 10 / 100
Ilves 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MuSa Ilves 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: MuSa scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

MuSa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

MuSa VS Ilves 2
0.63 Goals Scored 2.75
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

MuSa

(Home)
18 Sept
GrIFK
1 : 1
MuSa
12 Sept
MuSa
1 : 1
EBK
04 Sept
NJS
4 : 0
MuSa
22 Aug
NJS
1 : 2
MuSa
15 Aug
MuSa
0 : 4
EBK
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Ilves 2

(Away)
19 Sept
EPS
0 : 1
Ilves 2
13 Sept
Ilves 2
2 : 0
Honka
07 Sept
Ilves 2
6 : 1
Pallo-Iirot
02 Sept
HJS
1 : 5
Ilves 2
28 Aug
Abo IFK
1 : 0
Ilves 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Honka 18 13 4 1 56:17 43
2 Abo IFK 18 12 3 3 38:18 39
3 EPS 18 10 2 6 39:26 32
4 HJS 18 9 4 5 30:24 31
5 Ilves 2 18 8 6 4 51:30 30
6 Pallo-Iirot 18 8 3 7 30:25 27
7 GrIFK 18 7 3 8 23:31 24
8 EBK 18 4 3 11 27:43 15
9 MuSa 18 3 3 12 19:55 12
10 NJS 18 0 1 17 10:54 1
Promotion - Kakkonen Group B (Winners stage)
Relegation - Kakkonen Group B (Losers stage)