Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MuSa vs Ilves 2

Finland Finland

Kakkonen Group B Porin Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

MuSa play Ilves 2 in the Kakkonen Group B. Ilves 2 are favorites here. Recently, MuSa averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. Ilves 2 averaged 2.63 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, MuSa won 0, Ilves 2 won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 3:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for MuSa and 2.50 for Ilves 2. This points to a Ilves 2 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
MuSa
6%
Draws
90%
Ilves 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ilves 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ilves 2 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to MuSa.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Ilves 2.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Kakkonen Group B provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
MuSa Clean Sheet 10%
Ilves 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MuSa Ilves 2
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 19
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.38 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Kakkonen Group B
MuSa vs Ilves 2
3:4
Jun 28, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
MuSa vs Ilves 2
0:2
Apr 21, 2025 Kakkonen Group B
Ilves 2 vs MuSa
2:1
Apr 16, 2025 Suomen Cup
MuSa vs Ilves 2
3:5
Aug 24, 2022 Kakkonen Group B
MuSa vs Ilves 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MuSa Compare

Top Goalscorer Aloziem V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Simeon E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Ilves 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Syrjanen S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tamminen E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MuSa 10 / 100
Ilves 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MuSa Ilves 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MuSa scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Ilves 2 let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

MuSa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ilves 2 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MuSa VS Ilves 2
1.38 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Honka1192037:829
2Abo IFK1182128:1026
3Ilves 21054127:1719
4HJS1153318:1518
5Pallo-Iirot1152421:1617
6GrIFK1043313:1415
7EPS1132620:2011
8EBK1122714:278
9MuSa1113712:366
10NJS1101106:331