Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Musanze vs Etoile de L'Est

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Musanze
20%
Draws
29%
Etoile de L'Est
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Musanze

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Musanze have won more games recently than Etoile de L'Est.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Musanze taking it.
  • Regular Premier League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Musanze have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Musanze Clean Sheet 68%
Etoile de L'Est Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Musanze Etoile de L'Est
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.03 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2024 Premier League
Musanze vs Etoile de L'Est
0:0
Aug 20, 2023 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Musanze
1:4
Feb 21, 2022 Premier League
Musanze vs Etoile de L'Est
2:0
Nov 20, 2021 Premier League
Etoile de L'Est vs Musanze
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musanze 68 / 100
Etoile de L'Est 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Musanze Etoile de L'Est

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Musanze Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Etoile de L'Est's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Musanze has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Etoile de L'Est's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Musanze VS Etoile de L'Est
0.63 Goals Scored 0.33
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.33
75% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Musanze

(Home)
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0
Musanze
11 Sept
Musanze
1 : 0
Kiyovu
30 May
Kigali FC
2 : 1
Musanze
24 May
Marines
1 : 1
Musanze
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
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Etoile de L'Est

(Away)
15 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
1 : 2
Gicumbi
12 Sept
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 0
Kigali FC
05 Sept
Amagaju
2 : 0
Etoile de L'Est
11 May
Etoile de L'Est
0 : 3
Bugesera
04 May
Police
1 : 2
Etoile de L'Est
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APR 30 19 11 0 47:17 68
2 Rayon Sport 30 17 6 7 42:25 57
3 Musanze 30 16 5 9 34:24 53
4 Mukura Victory Sports 30 13 8 9 39:32 47
5 Kigali FC 30 12 9 9 26:25 45
6 Kiyovu 30 11 11 8 38:34 44
7 Police 30 12 3 15 35:34 39
8 Amagaju 30 10 9 11 30:31 39
9 Gasogi United 30 10 6 14 31:34 36
10 Gorilla 30 9 8 13 26:33 35
11 Marines 30 9 8 13 32:42 35
12 Muhazi United 30 7 12 11 21:29 33
13 Bugesera 30 7 11 12 37:35 32
14 Etincelles 30 8 8 14 35:44 32
15 Sunrise 30 9 5 16 25:40 32
16 Etoile de L'Est 30 9 4 17 20:39 31
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2024/2025 (Qualification)