Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 3 2015/2016

Sporting Turnu Magurele

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Muscelul Muscel play Sporting Turnu Magurele in the Liga 3 - Seria 3 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Muscelul Muscel averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. Sporting Turnu Magurele averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.12 conceded. In past meetings, Muscelul Muscel won 1, Sporting Turnu Magurele won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 14, 2016 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Muscelul Muscel and 1.56 for Sporting Turnu Magurele. This points to a Sporting Turnu Magurele double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Muscelul Muscel

22%

Draws

41%

Sporting Turnu Magurele

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Sporting Turnu Magurele

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Muscelul Muscel picked up more points recently compared to Sporting Turnu Magurele.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.56 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 57%

Over 3.5 Goals 34%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Muscelul Muscel Clean Sheet 15%

Sporting Turnu Magurele Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Muscelul Muscel	Sporting Turnu Magurele
Matches Played	32	26
Wins	13	14
Draws	9	3
Losses	10	9
Goals Scored	1.81	1.35
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.12

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2016 Liga 3 - Seria 3

Sporting Turnu Magurele vs Muscelul Muscel

Possession: 49% - 40% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Oct 31, 2015 Liga 3 - Seria 3

Muscelul Muscel vs Sporting Turnu Magurele

Possession: 47% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muscelul Muscel 36 / 100

Sporting Turnu Magurele 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Muscelul Muscel Sporting Turnu Magurele

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sporting Turnu Magurele or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.7%

1.96

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Muscelul Muscel attacking → ← attacking Sporting Turnu Magurele

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Muscelul Muscel scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Sporting Turnu Magurele let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Muscelul Muscel went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Turnu Magurele lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 45

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Afumati	26	18	2	6	42:16	56
2	Campionii Arges	26	18	2	6	56:24	56
3	Voluntari 2	26	17	4	5	61:33	55
4	Sporting Turnu Magurele	26	14	3	9	35:29	45
5	Muscelul Muscel	26	12	6	8	31:26	42
6	Concordia 2	26	10	5	11	56:39	35
7	Sporting Rosiori	26	10	5	11	36:28	35
8	Atletic Bradu	26	10	5	11	41:41	35
9	Stefanesti	26	9	7	10	33:29	34
10	Podari	26	11	1	14	52:42	34
11	FC Pucioasa	26	8	7	11	29:36	31
12	Inter Olt	26	9	2	15	23:49	29
13	Urban Titu	26	5	1	20	24:85	16
14	AFC Harman	26	4	4	18	23:65	16