Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Caicedo E.
56'
Sub
Caicedo E. In: Bazan N.
Out: Caicedo E.
63'
Sub
Martinez T. In: Diaz S.
Out: Martinez T.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mushuc Runa
35%
Draws
37%
Barcelona SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barcelona SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Mushuc Runa at 1.17 per game, Barcelona SC at 1.07.
  • Model gives Mushuc Runa a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 20%
Barcelona SC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mushuc Runa Barcelona SC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC
0:0
Apr 22, 2026 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Barcelona SC
0:5
Feb 23, 2025 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa
1:0
Dec 1, 2024 Liga Pro
Barcelona SC vs Mushuc Runa
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mushuc Runa 42 / 100
Barcelona SC 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mushuc Runa Barcelona SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mushuc Runa found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Barcelona SC let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Mushuc Runa stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mushuc Runa VS Barcelona SC
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mushuc Runa

(Home)
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
28 Aug
Mushuc Runa
1 : 0
Delfin
22 Aug
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
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Barcelona SC

(Away)
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
07 Sept
Aucas
1 : 1
Barcelona SC
03 Sept
Barcelona SC
2 : 1
Independiente del Valle
30 Aug
Manta
2 : 0
Barcelona SC
23 Aug
Barcelona SC
3 : 0
Orense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)