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Mushuc Runa vs Delfin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Bellavista, Ambato
Mushuc Runa Logo

Mushuc Runa

Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Delfin Logo

Delfin

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mushuc Runa host Delfin in the Liga Pro. Little to choose between these two on current form. Delfin have shipped 1.1 goals a game lately, while Mushuc Runa have conceded 1.29 and scored 1.21. Past meetings favor Delfin slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 9, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 0.81, favoring Mushuc Runa. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Mushuc Runa
35%
Draws
51%
Delfin
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Delfin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Delfin have managed 0.97 goals a game lately — Mushuc Runa are scoring more at 1.21.
  • Win probability leans Delfin's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Mushuc Runa Clean Sheet 20%
Delfin Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mushuc Runa Delfin
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.21 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
3:2
Aug 28, 2026 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Delfin
1:0
May 3, 2026 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
1:0
Jun 15, 2025 Liga Pro
Delfin vs Mushuc Runa
3:1
Feb 18, 2025 Liga Pro
Mushuc Runa vs Delfin
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mushuc Runa 16 / 100
Delfin 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mushuc Runa Delfin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Delfin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mushuc Runa scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Delfin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Mushuc Runa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mushuc Runa VS Delfin
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mushuc Runa

(Home)
09 Oct
Delfin
3 : 2
Mushuc Runa
20 Sept
Dep. Cuenca
1 : 1
Mushuc Runa
12 Sept
Guayaquil City
3 : 1
Mushuc Runa
08 Sept
Mushuc Runa
1 : 1
Leones del Norte
02 Sept
LDU Quito
0 : 0
Mushuc Runa
Page 1 of 6

Delfin

(Away)
18 Oct
Delfin
4 : 2
Manta
09 Oct
Delfin
3 : 2
Mushuc Runa
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
17 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
0 : 2
Delfin
13 Sept
Barcelona SC
1 : 1
Delfin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
11 Dep. Cuenca 33 11 8 14 28:39 41
12 Mushuc Runa 32 9 12 11 38:42 39
13 Delfin 33 9 8 16 27:36 35
14 Orense 32 9 7 16 37:49 34
15 Tecnico U. 33 10 3 20 30:46 33
16 Manta 33 7 6 20 22:47 27
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)