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Musongati vs Green Farmers

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primus League game between Musongati and Green Farmers finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Musongati.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Musongati
6%
Draws
4%
Green Farmers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Musongati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Musongati carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Musongati a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Musongati Clean Sheet 20%
Green Farmers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Musongati Green Farmers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 1
Draws 8 4
Losses 5 25
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Primus League
Musongati vs Green Farmers
3:0
Nov 2, 2025 Primus League
Green Farmers vs Musongati
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musongati 85 / 100
Green Farmers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Musongati Green Farmers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Green Farmers has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Green Farmers registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Musongati scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Musongati VS Green Farmers
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 4
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Musongati

(Home)
09 May
Musongati
3 : 0
Bumamuru
26 Apr
Ngozi City
2 : 4
Musongati
12 Apr
Musongati
1 : 0
Inter Star
21 Mar
Vital'O
2 : 0
Musongati
15 Mar
Musongati
0 : 1
Royal Vision
Page 1 of 6

Green Farmers

(Away)
08 May
Green Farmers
2 : 4
Muzinga
26 Apr
Flambeau du Centre
5 : 1
Green Farmers
12 Apr
Green Farmers
1 : 2
Bumamuru
19 Mar
Ngozi City
4 : 2
Green Farmers
16 Mar
Green Farmers
0 : 5
Inter Star
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aigle Noir30218162:2571
2Musongati30178542:2159
3Flambeau du Centre30168642:2356
4Royal Vision301721147:3153
5Rukinzo30148849:2850
6Vital'O30148845:2750
7Bumamuru30147947:3349
8Muzinga301110937:3843
9Olympic Star301091136:3539
10Kayanza United308121040:4536
11Le Messager Ngozi30891331:3333
12Ngozi City30891337:4333
13Inter Star30881437:4232
14Dynamik30851735:5829
15Garage Express30391815:6118
16Green Farmers30142525:847
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)