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Musongati vs Olympic Star - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Musongati host Olympic Star in the Primus League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Olympic Star have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Musongati have conceded 0.72 and scored 1.34. Past meetings favor Musongati slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 6, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.38, favoring Musongati. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Musongati
30%
Draws
35%
Olympic Star
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Olympic Star haven't matched Musongati's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Musongati have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Musongati Clean Sheet 17%
Olympic Star Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Musongati Olympic Star
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.34 1.32
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Primus League
Musongati vs Olympic Star
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Musongati
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 Primus League
Olympic Star vs Musongati
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 Primus League
Musongati vs Olympic Star
3:0
Apr 14, 2024 Primus League
Musongati vs Olympic Star
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musongati 31 / 100
Olympic Star 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Musongati Olympic Star

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Musongati scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Olympic Star conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Musongati went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Musongati VS Olympic Star
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Musongati

(Home)
14 Oct
Panthere Noir
0 : 2
Musongati
11 Oct
Musongati
3 : 1
Le Messager Ngozi
03 Oct
Never Give Up Academy
0 : 2
Musongati
20 Sept
Musongati
0 : 3
Muzinga
28 Aug
Bumamuru
2 : 0
Musongati
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Olympic Star

(Away)
10 Oct
Olympic Star
1 : 0
Never Give Up Academy
03 Oct
Muzinga
1 : 1
Olympic Star
20 Sept
Olympic Star
3 : 1
Bumamuru
30 Aug
Rukinzo
0 : 0
Olympic Star
23 Aug
Olympic Star
0 : 0
Royal Vision
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Vision 7 6 1 0 22:3 19
2 Muzinga 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Aigle Noir 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
4 Le Messager Ngozi 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Musongati 7 3 1 3 8:8 10
6 Olympic Star 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
7 Ngozi City 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
8 Rukinzo 4 2 2 0 9:1 8
9 Vital'O 5 2 2 1 7:10 8
10 Bumamuru 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
11 Flambeau du Centre 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
12 Never Give Up Academy 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
13 Kayanza United 7 0 5 2 3:7 5
14 Inter Star 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
15 Young Star 7 0 2 5 3:20 2
16 Panthere Noir 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)