Sport Picks

Scotland

Scottish Cup 2024/2025 Olivebank Arena

Boness United

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Musselburgh play Boness United in the Scottish Cup 2024/2025. Musselburgh are favorites here. Recently, Musselburgh averaged 2.25 goals scored and 1.92 conceded. Boness United averaged 1.65 goals scored and 1.84 conceded. In past meetings, Musselburgh won 1, Boness United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 30, 2024 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Musselburgh and 2.06 for Boness United. This points to a Musselburgh double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Musselburgh

15%

Draws

29%

Boness United

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Musselburgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

Musselburgh picked up more points recently compared to Boness United.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 2.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 70%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 93%

Over 2.5 Goals 70%

Over 3.5 Goals 42%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Musselburgh Clean Sheet 10%

Boness United Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 84%

Second Half Goal 88%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Musselburgh	Boness United
Matches Played	12	31
Wins	7	10
Draws	0	6
Losses	5	15
Goals Scored	2.25	1.65
Goals Conceded	1.92	1.84
Expected Goals (xG)	3.00	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2024 Scottish Cup

Musselburgh vs Boness United

Possession: 59% - 42% Cards: 1 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Musselburgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Donaldson C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.31

Avg xA / game 1.5

Boness United Compare

Top Goalscorer Stenhouse L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musselburgh 52 / 100

Boness United 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Musselburgh Boness United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Musselburgh Win (1)

Secondary Pick Musselburgh & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.5%

2.08

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +9.2%

1.56

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Musselburgh attacking → ← attacking Boness United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Musselburgh scored in 92% of their last 12 games.

Boness United let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Musselburgh went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Boness United lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 36

3.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25