Sport Picks

Scotland

Scottish Cup 2024/2025 Olivebank Arena, Musselburgh

Musselburgh

3 - 1

Boness United

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Evans N.

Assist: Stevenson C.

15'

Gemmel M.

27'

Stenhouse L.

Assist: Stevenson R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Musselburgh in this Scottish Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Musselburgh

30%

Draws

41%

Boness United

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Boness United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Form's been kind to Boness United lately — more wins on the board than Musselburgh.
42% — that's where the model lands on Musselburgh taking it.
Boness United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Musselburgh, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Musselburgh Clean Sheet 15%

Boness United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Musselburgh	Boness United
Matches Played	21	29
Wins	9	10
Draws	2	5
Losses	10	14
Goals Scored	1.71	1.55
Goals Conceded	1.76	1.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.69	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Lowland League

Musselburgh vs Boness United

2:2

Nov 30, 2024 Scottish Cup

Musselburgh vs Boness United

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Musselburgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans N.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Donaldson C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.3

Avg xA / game 0.84

Boness United Compare

Top Goalscorer Stenhouse L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.42

Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musselburgh 41 / 100

Boness United 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Musselburgh Boness United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Musselburgh scored in 76% of their last 21 games.

Defensive concern: Boness United conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Musselburgh remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Musselburgh VS Boness United

1.13 Goals Scored 1.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25

75% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Musselburgh

(Home)

19 Sept

Berwick

0 : 0

Musselburgh

15 Sept

Hill Of Beath

1 : 0

Musselburgh

12 Sept

Musselburgh

2 : 0

Gala Fairydean Rovers

29 Aug

Brechin

3 : 1

Musselburgh

22 Aug

Musselburgh

2 : 2

Boness United

Page 1 of 5

Boness United

(Away)

19 Sept

Boness United

2 : 0

East Stirlingshire

15 Sept

Boness United

0 : 5

Lochee United

12 Sept

Boness United

1 : 2

Broxburn Athletic

29 Aug

Stirling University

2 : 5

Boness United

22 Aug

Musselburgh

2 : 2

Boness United

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Arbroath -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Spartans -

TBD -

Cowdenbeath 3

Rutherglen 2

Brechin 1

Newtongrange Star 0

Huntly 3

Wick Academy 2

TBD -

Hearts -

Dundee FC -

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Dumbarton -

TBD -

Alloa -

Dundonald Bluebell 1

Inverurie Loco Works 2

Dundee North End 4

Tranent FC 0

TBD -

Airdrieonians -

Elgin City -

TBD -

Clyde -

TBD -

Kelty Hearts -

TBD -

Aberdeen -

Forres Mechanics 1

Jeanfield Swifts 2

TBD -

Edinburgh City -

TBD -

Dunfermline -

Burntisland Shipyard 1

Irvine Meadow 4

Cumbernauld Colts 0

Civil Service Strollers 3

TBD -

Stenhousemuir -

Rangers -

TBD -

Fraserburgh 8

Rothes 0

Broomhill 0

Turriff United 1

TBD -

Annan -

Queen's Park -

TBD -

Partick -

Peterhead -

TBD -

East Stirlingshire 2

Lochee United 3

TBD -

Montrose -

Ross County -

TBD -

Livingston -

TBD -

Brora Rangers 2

Cumnock Juniors 1

Formartine Utd 2

Whitehill Welfare 0

Cove Rangers -

TBD -

Inverness -

Forfar Athletic -

TBD -

Berwick 4

Cupar Hearts 2

Stirling -

TBD -

Dunbar United 1

Boness Athletic 4

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Motherwell -

East Fife -

TBD -

Gala Fairydean Rovers 0

Banks O' Dee 1

TBD -

Hamilton -

Musselburgh 1

Darvel FC 0

Stirling University 0

Caledonian Braves 2

Tynecastle 2

Hill Of Beath 3

Deveronvale 2

Boness United 4

Celtic -

TBD -

Kilmarnock -

East Kilbride 2

Gretna 2008 0

TBD -

Bonnyrigg Rose -

TBD -

Falkirk -

Linlithgow Rose 3

Lossiemouth 1

Clachnacuddin 3

Nairn County 1

TBD -

Raith -

Threave Rovers 6

Vale Of Leithen 1

TBD -

Stranraer -

Albion Rovers 1

Auchinleck Talbot 2

Dalkeith Thistle FC 0

Broxburn Athletic 4

Ayr -

TBD -

Morton -

Hibernian -

TBD -

Keith 2

Camelon Juniors 1

Clydebank FC 3

Girvan 1

Strathspey Thistle 0

Sauchie 6

Buckie Thistle 2

Carluke Rovers FC 1

1/64-finals

Arbroath -

TBD -

Queen of the South -

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Spartans 1

Cowdenbeath 2

Brechin 3

Huntly 2

TBD -

Hearts -

Dundee FC -

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Dumbarton -

TBD -

Alloa -

Inverurie Loco Works 1

Dundee North End 3

TBD -

Airdrieonians -

Elgin City 2

Clyde 1

TBD -

Kelty Hearts -

TBD -

Aberdeen -

Jeanfield Swifts 1

Edinburgh City 2

TBD -

Dunfermline -

Irvine Meadow 3

Civil Service Strollers 0

TBD -

Stenhousemuir -

Rangers -

TBD -

Fraserburgh 3

Turriff United 1

TBD -

Annan -

Queen's Park -

TBD -

Partick -

Peterhead 6

Lochee United 3

TBD -

Montrose -

Ross County -

TBD -

Livingston -

TBD -

Brora Rangers 2

Formartine Utd 1

Cove Rangers -

TBD -

Inverness -

Forfar Athletic 1

Berwick 0

Stirling 6

Boness Athletic 0

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Motherwell -

East Fife 0

Banks O' Dee 1

TBD -

Hamilton -

Musselburgh 2

Caledonian Braves 1

Hill Of Beath 0

Boness United 2

Celtic -

TBD -

Kilmarnock -

East Kilbride 3

Bonnyrigg Rose 1

TBD -

Falkirk -

Linlithgow Rose 3

Clachnacuddin 0

TBD -

Raith -

Threave Rovers 2

Stranraer 3

Auchinleck Talbot 0

Broxburn Athletic 1

Ayr -

TBD -

Morton -

Hibernian -

TBD -

Keith 0

Clydebank FC 3

Sauchie 0

Buckie Thistle 2

1/32-finals

Arbroath 0

Queen of the South 1

TBD -

St. Mirren -

Cowdenbeath 1

Brechin 4

TBD -

Hearts -

Dundee FC -

TBD -

Dundee Utd -

Dumbarton 3

Alloa 2

Dundee North End 0

Airdrieonians 1

Elgin City 3

Kelty Hearts 2

TBD -

Aberdeen -

Edinburgh City 1

Dunfermline 2

Irvine Meadow 0

Stenhousemuir 5

Rangers -

TBD -

Fraserburgh 2

Annan 0

Queen's Park 3

Partick 2

Peterhead 2

Montrose 3

Ross County -

TBD -

Livingston 2

Brora Rangers 0

Cove Rangers 2

Inverness 0

Forfar Athletic 4

Stirling 3

St Johnstone -

TBD -

Motherwell -

Banks O' Dee 1

Hamilton 2

Musselburgh 3

Boness United 1

Celtic -

TBD -

Kilmarnock -

East Kilbride 1

Falkirk 3

Linlithgow Rose 0

Raith 4

Stranraer 1

Broxburn Athletic 2

Ayr 2

Morton 0

Hibernian -

TBD -

Clydebank FC 2

Buckie Thistle 0

1/16-finals

Queen of the South 1

St. Mirren 3

Brechin 1

Hearts 4

Dundee FC 1

Dundee Utd 0

Dumbarton 1

Airdrieonians 5

Elgin City 0

Aberdeen 3

Dunfermline 3

Stenhousemuir 0

Rangers 5

Fraserburgh 0

Queen's Park 3

Montrose 2

Ross County 2

Livingston 3

Cove Rangers 2

Forfar Athletic 0

St Johnstone 1

Motherwell 0

Hamilton 3

Musselburgh 1

Celtic 2

Kilmarnock 1

Falkirk 1

Raith 2

Broxburn Athletic 0

Ayr 8

Hibernian 3

Clydebank FC 0

1/8-finals

St. Mirren 1

Hearts 2

Dundee FC 4

Airdrieonians 0

Aberdeen 3

Dunfermline 0

Rangers 0

Queen's Park 1

Livingston 3

Cove Rangers 0

St Johnstone 1

Hamilton 0

Celtic 5

Raith 0

Ayr 0

Hibernian 1

Quarter-finals

Hearts 3

Dundee FC 1

Aberdeen 4

Queen's Park 1

Livingston 0

St Johnstone 1

Celtic 2

Hibernian 0

Semi-finals

Hearts 1

Aberdeen 2

St Johnstone 0

Celtic 5

Final

Aberdeen 2

Celtic 1

Musselburgh vs Boness United

Scotland

Musselburgh

Boness United

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Musselburgh Compare

Boness United Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Musselburgh

Boness United

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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