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Musselburgh vs Bonnyrigg Rose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Devine L.
Assist: Young K.
26'
Todd J.
59' Event
Martyniuk N.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Musselburgh and Bonnyrigg Rose finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bonnyrigg Rose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Musselburgh
20%
Draws
42%
Bonnyrigg Rose
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bonnyrigg Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Bonnyrigg Rose carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Musselburgh Clean Sheet 16%
Bonnyrigg Rose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Musselburgh Bonnyrigg Rose
Matches Played 23 29
Wins 10 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.7 2.31
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Lowland League
Musselburgh vs Bonnyrigg Rose
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Musselburgh Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Bonnyrigg Rose Compare

Top Goalscorer Devine L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musselburgh 30 / 100
Bonnyrigg Rose 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Musselburgh Bonnyrigg Rose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Musselburgh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Musselburgh's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Bonnyrigg Rose let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Musselburgh went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Musselburgh VS Bonnyrigg Rose
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Musselburgh

(Home)
03 Oct
Musselburgh
2 : 1
Lossiemouth
26 Sept
Musselburgh
1 : 1
Tranent FC
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 0
Musselburgh
12 Sept
Musselburgh
2 : 0
Gala Fairydean Rovers
Page 1 of 5

Bonnyrigg Rose

(Away)
03 Oct
Clachnacuddin
2 : 0
Bonnyrigg Rose
26 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
3 : 0
Motherwell B
22 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
1 : 6
Airdrieonians
19 Sept
Bonnyrigg Rose
6 : 1
Stirling University
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)