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Musselburgh vs Gala Fairydean Rovers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Hastie O.
Assist: Stevenson C.
54'
Martins D.
76' Event
Buchanan L.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Musselburgh and Gala Fairydean Rovers finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Musselburgh.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Musselburgh
35%
Draws
13%
Gala Fairydean Rovers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Musselburgh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gala Fairydean Rovers come out ahead of Musselburgh on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Musselburgh's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Musselburgh Clean Sheet 20%
Gala Fairydean Rovers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Musselburgh Gala Fairydean Rovers
Matches Played 23 33
Wins 10 13
Draws 3 3
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.7 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Lowland League
Musselburgh vs Gala Fairydean Rovers
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Musselburgh Compare

Top Goalscorer Hastie O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Buchanan L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gala Fairydean Rovers Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musselburgh 58 / 100
Gala Fairydean Rovers 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Musselburgh Gala Fairydean Rovers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Musselburgh Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Musselburgh scored in 78% of their last 23 games.

Defensive concern: Gala Fairydean Rovers conceded in 73% of 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Musselburgh stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Musselburgh VS Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Musselburgh

(Home)
03 Oct
Musselburgh
2 : 1
Lossiemouth
26 Sept
Musselburgh
1 : 1
Tranent FC
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 0
Musselburgh
12 Sept
Musselburgh
2 : 0
Gala Fairydean Rovers
Page 1 of 5

Gala Fairydean Rovers

(Away)
03 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 1
Largs Thistle
26 Sept
Alloa
2 : 2
Gala Fairydean Rovers
22 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 0
Spartans
19 Sept
Tranent FC
2 : 1
Gala Fairydean Rovers
16 Sept
Gala Fairydean Rovers
1 : 2
Bonnyrigg Rose
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)