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Musselburgh vs Linlithgow Rose

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
McGowan A.
Assist: Kennedy P.
90' Event
Paterson D.
Assist: Stenhouse L.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Musselburgh and Linlithgow Rose finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Linlithgow Rose.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Musselburgh
20%
Draws
56%
Linlithgow Rose
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Linlithgow Rose

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Linlithgow Rose come out ahead of Musselburgh on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Linlithgow Rose's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Musselburgh Clean Sheet 10%
Linlithgow Rose Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Musselburgh Linlithgow Rose
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 9 20
Draws 2 3
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.71 2.37
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Lowland League
Musselburgh vs Linlithgow Rose
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Musselburgh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Linlithgow Rose Compare

Top Goalscorer McGowan A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paterson D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Musselburgh 10 / 100
Linlithgow Rose 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Musselburgh Linlithgow Rose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Linlithgow Rose Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Musselburgh scored in 76% of their last 21 games.

Defensive concern: Linlithgow Rose conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Musselburgh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Musselburgh VS Linlithgow Rose
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Musselburgh

(Home)
19 Sept
Berwick
0 : 0
Musselburgh
15 Sept
Hill Of Beath
1 : 0
Musselburgh
12 Sept
Musselburgh
2 : 0
Gala Fairydean Rovers
29 Aug
Brechin
3 : 1
Musselburgh
22 Aug
Musselburgh
2 : 2
Boness United
Page 1 of 5

Linlithgow Rose

(Away)
19 Sept
Broxburn Athletic
0 : 4
Linlithgow Rose
15 Sept
Linlithgow Rose
4 : 0
Dunipace
12 Sept
East Stirlingshire
2 : 4
Linlithgow Rose
29 Aug
Linlithgow Rose
3 : 2
Cowdenbeath
22 Aug
Lochee United
5 : 2
Linlithgow Rose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 8 8 0 0 17:4 24
2 Hill Of Beath 9 7 0 2 14:10 21
3 Linlithgow Rose 9 6 1 2 25:11 19
4 Brechin 8 6 1 1 17:10 19
5 Broxburn Athletic 8 6 1 1 13:7 19
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
8 Civil Service Strollers 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
9 Boness United 9 4 1 4 16:18 13
10 East Stirlingshire 9 3 1 5 13:19 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 8 1 1 6 6:17 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 9 1 0 8 9:24 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 10 8 0 2 31:13 24
2 Largs Thistle 10 7 1 2 14:9 22
3 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
4 Pollok 9 6 2 1 21:12 20
5 Auchinleck Talbot 10 6 1 3 31:12 19
6 Cumnock Juniors 9 5 2 2 25:14 17
7 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
8 Caledonian Braves 9 5 1 3 26:21 16
9 Johnstone Burgh 9 4 3 2 19:14 15
10 Troon FC 10 4 0 6 18:19 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Albion Rovers 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Beith 10 2 2 6 13:27 8
14 Renfrew 9 2 1 6 16:26 7
15 Gretna 2008 10 2 1 7 20:32 7
16 Newton Stewart 8 1 1 6 9:32 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 9 0 1 8 5:30 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)