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Mutilvera vs CD Cantolagua

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Aranguren A.
5' Event
Bujanda D.
42' Event
Saralegui M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 game between Mutilvera and CD Cantolagua finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mutilvera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Mutilvera
35%
Draws
46%
CD Cantolagua
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CD Cantolagua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

19% / Low Confidence
  • Mutilvera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 19% — that's where the model lands on Mutilvera taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Mutilvera have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 68%
CD Cantolagua Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutilvera CD Cantolagua
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 3
Draws 6 8
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mutilvera vs CD Cantolagua
4:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Mutilvera
0:1
May 4, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Mutilvera
1:2
Dec 15, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Mutilvera vs CD Cantolagua
2:0
Feb 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
CD Cantolagua vs Mutilvera
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mutilvera Compare

Top Goalscorer Aranguren A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bujanda D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

CD Cantolagua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.38
Avg xA / game 0.84

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutilvera 50 / 100
CD Cantolagua 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutilvera CD Cantolagua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mutilvera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Cantolagua let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Mutilvera scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Mutilvera went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mutilvera VS CD Cantolagua
1 Goals Scored 0.67
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.33
100% Over 1.5 67%
63% Over 2.5 67%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutilvera

(Home)
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 2
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6

CD Cantolagua

(Away)
10 Sept
CD Cantolagua
2 : 1
Huarte
06 Sept
Doneztebe FT
6 : 0
CD Cantolagua
10 May
CD Cantolagua
3 : 3
Pamplona
01 May
Cirbonero
1 : 1
CD Cantolagua
27 Apr
CD Cantolagua
1 : 3
Cortes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mutilvera 34 23 7 4 61:22 76
2 Valle Egues 34 23 6 5 63:21 75
3 AD San Juan 34 18 10 6 56:26 64
4 Cortes 34 18 8 8 48:28 62
5 Pena 34 15 13 6 55:28 58
6 Txantrea 34 16 9 9 58:49 57
7 Huarte 34 16 9 9 54:39 57
8 CD Ardoi 34 16 7 11 41:30 55
9 Pamplona 34 13 11 10 45:43 50
10 Cirbonero 34 11 12 11 46:39 45
11 Bidezarra 34 10 14 10 39:41 44
12 Beti Kozkor 34 9 10 15 38:48 37
13 CA Artajones 34 7 12 15 36:57 33
14 CD Beti Onak 34 9 6 19 32:50 33
15 Burlades 34 6 8 20 47:73 26
16 Rotxapea 34 5 8 21 39:83 23
17 CD Gares 34 5 7 22 25:63 22
18 CD Cantolagua 34 3 9 22 32:75 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2024/2025 (Play Offs)