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Mutilvera vs Ebro

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Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Yaniz M.
76' Event
Prat M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Mutilvera and Ebro finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mutilvera
30%
Draws
47%
Ebro
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ebro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Mutilvera haven't matched Ebro's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Mutilvera Clean Sheet 15%
Ebro Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutilvera Ebro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 11
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 0.9 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Ebro
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Mutilvera
1:1
Mar 14, 2021 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Mutilvera vs Ebro
0:1
Dec 13, 2020 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Ebro vs Mutilvera
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mutilvera Compare

Top Goalscorer Yaniz M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Ebro Compare

Top Goalscorer Prat M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutilvera 31 / 100
Ebro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutilvera Ebro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ebro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Ebro has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Mutilvera scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mutilvera VS Ebro
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutilvera

(Home)
05 Sept
Huarte
0 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Aug
Mutilvera
1 : 1
Pena
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
UD Logrones
3 : 0
Mutilvera
18 Apr
Mutilvera
1 : 2
Utebo FC
Page 1 of 6

Ebro

(Away)
06 Sept
Olot
2 : 2
Ebro
27 Aug
Ebro
2 : 1
San Sebastian Reyes
15 Aug
Huesca B
1 : 0
Ebro
03 May
Ebro
0 : 3
UD Logrones
26 Apr
Utebo FC
1 : 0
Ebro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Union 34 20 9 5 64:35 69
2 Alaves B 34 17 11 6 41:20 62
3 UD Logrones 34 18 7 9 73:33 61
4 Utebo FC 34 17 7 10 56:42 58
5 Tudelano 34 16 9 9 56:40 57
6 Amorebieta 34 13 11 10 38:32 50
7 Sestao 34 12 14 8 40:33 50
8 Ebro 34 11 16 7 42:36 49
9 Eibar B 34 14 7 13 41:42 49
10 Basconia 34 11 14 9 55:43 47
11 Gernika Club 34 12 9 13 34:40 45
12 Naxara 34 11 8 15 39:48 41
13 SD Logrones 34 8 13 13 22:40 37
14 Beasain 34 8 12 14 38:46 36
15 SD Ejea 34 8 11 15 35:55 35
16 Mutilvera 34 8 6 20 31:65 30
17 Zaragoza B 34 7 7 20 32:59 28
18 Alfaro 34 6 7 21 32:60 25
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)