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Mutondo Stars vs Prison Leopards Prediction & H2H Stats

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mutondo Stars in this Super League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mutondo Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Mutondo Stars
15%
Draws
48%
Prison Leopards
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Prison Leopards

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Mutondo Stars haven't matched Prison Leopards's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Mutondo Stars have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 68%
Prison Leopards Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutondo Stars Prison Leopards
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 13 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 0.72 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Prison Leopards
2:0
Sep 21, 2025 Super League
Prison Leopards vs Mutondo Stars
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 Super League
Prison Leopards vs Mutondo Stars
0:1
Oct 21, 2023 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Prison Leopards
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutondo Stars 41 / 100
Prison Leopards 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutondo Stars Prison Leopards

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mutondo Stars Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Prison Leopards let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Mutondo Stars has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mutondo Stars scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Mutondo Stars VS Prison Leopards
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutondo Stars

(Home)
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
13 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 2
Mutondo Stars
02 May
Mutondo Stars
1 : 0
Red Arrows
29 Apr
Mufulira Wanderers
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
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Prison Leopards

(Away)
12 Sept
Prison Leopards
2 : 1
NAPSA Stars
24 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Nkwazi
17 May
Prison Leopards
1 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
13 May
Kansanshi
1 : 0
Prison Leopards
02 May
Prison Leopards
0 : 2
Muza Fc
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