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Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows

Zambia Zambia

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mutondo Stars in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mutondo Stars.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Mutondo Stars
30%
Draws
43%
Red Arrows
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Red Arrows

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Red Arrows have won more games recently than Mutondo Stars.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 16%
Red Arrows Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutondo Stars Red Arrows
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 16
Draws 14 9
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.73 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Red Arrows vs Mutondo Stars
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Super League
Red Arrows vs Mutondo Stars
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows
3:1
Jun 1, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutondo Stars 31 / 100
Red Arrows 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutondo Stars Red Arrows

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Arrows Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Mutondo Stars went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mutondo Stars scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Red Arrows let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mutondo Stars VS Red Arrows
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutondo Stars

(Home)
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
13 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 2
Mutondo Stars
02 May
Mutondo Stars
1 : 0
Red Arrows
29 Apr
Mufulira Wanderers
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
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Red Arrows

(Away)
22 May
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Green Buffaloes FC
17 May
Mufulira Wanderers
0 : 0
Red Arrows
14 May
Red Arrows
2 : 1
Green Eagles
10 May
Power Dynamos
0 : 2
Red Arrows
06 May
Zanaco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
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