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Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Zambia Zambia

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Mutondo Stars and Red Arrows finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Red Arrows.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mutondo Stars
20%
Draws
52%
Red Arrows
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Red Arrows

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Red Arrows come out ahead of Mutondo Stars on wins alone.
  • Red Arrows are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mutondo Stars Clean Sheet 24%
Red Arrows Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mutondo Stars Red Arrows
Matches Played 29 40
Wins 5 24
Draws 12 11
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.72 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows
1:3
May 2, 2026 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Super League
Red Arrows vs Mutondo Stars
2:0
Feb 8, 2025 Super League
Red Arrows vs Mutondo Stars
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Super League
Mutondo Stars vs Red Arrows
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutondo Stars 17 / 100
Red Arrows 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mutondo Stars Red Arrows

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Arrows Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Mutondo Stars went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Mutondo Stars scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Red Arrows's defensive record shows goals conceded in 40% of 40 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mutondo Stars VS Red Arrows
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
43% Over 1.5 38%
43% Over 2.5 13%
43% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mutondo Stars

(Home)
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
24 May
NAPSA Stars
1 : 0
Mutondo Stars
17 May
Mutondo Stars
3 : 1
Mines
13 May
Power Dynamos
2 : 2
Mutondo Stars
02 May
Mutondo Stars
1 : 0
Red Arrows
Page 1 of 6

Red Arrows

(Away)
04 Oct
Mutondo Stars
1 : 3
Red Arrows
20 Sept
Power Dynamos
0 : 1
Red Arrows
13 Sept
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
0 : 2
Red Arrows
05 Sept
Red Arrows
2 : 0
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra
22 Aug
Zesco
0 : 0
Red Arrows
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Konkola Blades 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Zanaco 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Nkana 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 NAPSA Stars 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Muza Fc 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kansanshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
7 Makeni All Stars 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
8 Power Dynamos 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
9 Nchanga Rangers 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
10 Trident 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Green Eagles 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
2 Red Arrows 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Green Buffaloes FC 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
4 Roan United 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
5 Zesco 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
6 Kabwe 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
7 Nkwazi 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
8 Mutondo Stars 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
9 Chirundu United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
10 Mufulira Wanderers 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Super League (Play Offs)