Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024

FC Nottingen

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mutschelbach play FC Nottingen in the Oberliga Baden-Württemberg 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Mutschelbach averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. FC Nottingen averaged 2.5 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Mutschelbach won 1, FC Nottingen won 0, and they drew 4. Their last match on Mar 28, 2024 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Mutschelbach and 1.68 for FC Nottingen. This points to a FC Nottingen double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Mutschelbach

35%

Draws

37%

FC Nottingen

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: FC Nottingen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Mutschelbach picked up more points recently compared to FC Nottingen.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.68 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 82%

Over 3.5 Goals 49%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Mutschelbach Clean Sheet 13%

FC Nottingen Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 85%

Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mutschelbach	FC Nottingen
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	9	17
Draws	9	5
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.8	2.5
Goals Conceded	2.33	2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg

Mutschelbach vs FC Nottingen

Possession: 54% - 45% Cards: 2 - 4

2:2

Sep 15, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg

FC Nottingen vs Mutschelbach

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

Jul 25, 2023 Club Friendly

FC Nottingen vs Mutschelbach

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 0 - 0

0:0

Apr 21, 2023 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg

FC Nottingen vs Mutschelbach

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Sep 30, 2022 Oberliga Baden-Württemberg

Mutschelbach vs FC Nottingen

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mutschelbach Compare

Top Goalscorer Kendel F.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

FC Nottingen Compare

Top Goalscorer de Santis E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Dobros N.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mutschelbach 28 / 100

FC Nottingen 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mutschelbach FC Nottingen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: FC Nottingen or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.32

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Mutschelbach attacking → ← attacking FC Nottingen

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mutschelbach scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

FC Nottingen let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Mutschelbach went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

FC Nottingen lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 56

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.25

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC 08 Villingen	34	22	6	6	84:40	72
2	Goppinger	34	20	9	5	71:37	69
3	Sonnenhof Grossaspach	34	20	8	6	77:27	68
4	1. CfR Pforzheim	34	18	10	6	79:46	64
5	FC Nottingen	34	17	9	8	76:41	60
6	Hollenbach	34	14	7	13	61:68	49
7	FC Normannia Gmund	34	13	9	12	46:43	48
8	TSV Essingen	34	13	7	14	45:52	46
9	VfR Mannheim	34	13	4	17	46:59	43
10	Oberachern	34	10	12	12	52:62	42
11	Backnang	34	11	9	14	44:56	42
12	Mutschelbach	34	10	11	13	67:83	41
13	Ravensburg	34	9	13	12	50:60	40
14	Bietigheim-Bissingen	34	11	6	17	56:60	39
15	Reutlingen	34	10	7	17	56:63	37
16	Holzhausen FC	34	10	6	18	47:60	36
17	Denzlingen	34	10	6	18	46:76	36
18	Offenburger	34	3	5	26	35:105	14