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Muzinga vs Ngozi City Prediction & H2H Stats

Burundi Burundi

Coupe du President
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AI Match Summary

First leg ended 4-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Muzinga
15%
Draws
40%
Ngozi City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Muzinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Muzinga come out ahead of Ngozi City on wins alone.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Muzinga taking it.
  • Muzinga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Muzinga, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Muzinga Clean Sheet 20%
Ngozi City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muzinga Ngozi City
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Coupe du President
Ngozi City vs Muzinga
4:0
Apr 15, 2026 Coupe du President
Muzinga vs Ngozi City
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Muzinga
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Primus League
Muzinga vs Ngozi City
0:0
Jan 18, 2017 Primus League
Muzinga vs Ngozi City
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muzinga 49 / 100
Ngozi City 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muzinga Ngozi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muzinga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Muzinga scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Ngozi City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Muzinga remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Muzinga VS Ngozi City
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Muzinga

(Home)
03 Oct
Muzinga
1 : 1
Olympic Star
20 Sept
Musongati
0 : 3
Muzinga
30 Aug
Muzinga
1 : 0
Panthere Noir
23 Aug
Le Messager Ngozi
2 : 1
Muzinga
14 Aug
Muzinga
1 : 0
Never Give Up Academy
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Ngozi City

(Away)
03 Oct
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Ngozi City
27 Sept
Ngozi City
1 : 0
Kayanza United
30 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 1
Inter Star
23 Aug
Vital'O
2 : 1
Ngozi City
16 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 0
Young Star
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Dynamik 1
Aigle Noir 2
Kayanza United 0
Vital'O 5
Muzinga 3
Ngozi City 4
Rocky City Nyanza 1
Rukinzo 11
Semi-finals
Aigle Noir 3
Vital'O 2
Ngozi City 0
Rukinzo 1
Final
Aigle Noir 0
Rukinzo 1