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Muzinga vs Ngozi City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burundi Burundi

Primus League
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Muzinga host Ngozi City in the Primus League. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Muzinga at 1.34 goals for, 1.28 against; Ngozi City at 1.28 for, 1.59 against. Head-to-head, Muzinga have won 1 to Ngozi City's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 20, 2026, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.50 - 0.88) back Muzinga to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Muzinga
20%
Draws
28%
Ngozi City
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Muzinga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Muzinga come out ahead of Ngozi City on wins alone.
  • Muzinga are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primus League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Muzinga Clean Sheet 20%
Ngozi City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Muzinga Ngozi City
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2026 Coupe du President
Ngozi City vs Muzinga
4:0
Apr 15, 2026 Coupe du President
Muzinga vs Ngozi City
3:0
Feb 28, 2026 Primus League
Ngozi City vs Muzinga
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Primus League
Muzinga vs Ngozi City
0:0
Jan 18, 2017 Primus League
Muzinga vs Ngozi City
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Muzinga 85 / 100
Ngozi City 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Muzinga Ngozi City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Muzinga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Muzinga remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Muzinga scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Ngozi City let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Muzinga VS Ngozi City
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Muzinga

(Home)
13 Oct
Muzinga
1 : 1
Young Star
10 Oct
Flambeau du Centre
1 : 2
Muzinga
03 Oct
Muzinga
1 : 1
Olympic Star
20 Sept
Musongati
0 : 3
Muzinga
30 Aug
Muzinga
1 : 0
Panthere Noir
Page 1 of 6

Ngozi City

(Away)
11 Oct
Ngozi City
0 : 5
Royal Vision
03 Oct
Aigle Noir
2 : 1
Ngozi City
27 Sept
Ngozi City
1 : 0
Kayanza United
30 Aug
Ngozi City
2 : 1
Inter Star
23 Aug
Vital'O
2 : 1
Ngozi City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Royal Vision 7 6 1 0 22:3 19
2 Muzinga 7 4 2 1 10:5 14
3 Aigle Noir 6 3 2 1 11:8 11
4 Le Messager Ngozi 5 3 1 1 5:4 10
5 Musongati 7 3 1 3 8:8 10
6 Olympic Star 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
7 Ngozi City 6 3 0 3 7:10 9
8 Rukinzo 4 2 2 0 9:1 8
9 Vital'O 5 2 2 1 7:10 8
10 Bumamuru 6 2 1 3 7:6 7
11 Flambeau du Centre 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
12 Never Give Up Academy 6 1 2 3 4:7 5
13 Kayanza United 7 0 5 2 3:7 5
14 Inter Star 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
15 Young Star 7 0 2 5 3:20 2
16 Panthere Noir 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)