Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Mwadui vs Lipuli

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Isihaka K.
Own Goal
66' Event
Kiango W.
84' Event
Ommary D.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 game between Mwadui and Lipuli finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mwadui.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mwadui
15%
Draws
85%
Lipuli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lipuli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lipuli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lipuli a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Mwadui Clean Sheet 17%
Lipuli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mwadui Lipuli
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 0.81 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.11 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2020 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Lipuli
3:0
Nov 2, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Mwadui
2:0
Apr 6, 2019 Ligi Kuu Bara
Lipuli vs Mwadui
2:2
Nov 7, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Lipuli
1:0
Apr 11, 2018 Ligi Kuu Bara
Mwadui vs Lipuli
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mwadui Compare

Top Goalscorer Kiango W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ommary D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Lipuli Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mwadui 10 / 100
Lipuli 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mwadui Lipuli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lipuli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lipuli has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Mwadui scored in 53% of their last 36 outings.

Away concern: Lipuli has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mwadui VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mwadui

(Home)
18 Jul
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 0
Mwadui
15 Jul
Coastal Union
5 : 0
Mwadui
20 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 2
Mwadui
17 Jun
Mwadui
1 : 3
Mtibwa Sugar
18 May
Mwadui
0 : 1
Tanzania Prisons
Page 1 of 8

Lipuli

(Away)
26 Jul
Lipuli
0 : 1
Young Africans
23 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 0
Ruvu Shooting
19 Jul
Lipuli
1 : 1
Azam
14 Jul
Lipuli
2 : 0
Kinondoni MC
09 Jul
Alliance
2 : 0
Lipuli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Simba 38 27 7 4 78:21 88
2 Young Africans 38 19 15 4 45:28 72
3 Azam 38 20 10 8 52:26 70
4 Namungo 38 17 13 8 46:37 64
5 Polisi Tanzania 38 15 10 13 37:35 55
6 JKT Tanzania 38 13 15 10 34:32 54
7 Coastal Union 38 14 11 13 33:30 53
8 Kagera Sugar 38 15 7 16 44:41 52
9 Biashara Mara United 38 12 14 12 29:27 50
10 Tanzania Prisons 38 10 19 9 35:30 49
11 Mwadui 38 12 11 15 39:45 47
12 Ruvu Shooting 38 12 11 15 34:42 47
13 Kinondoni MC 38 13 7 18 35:47 46
14 Mtibwa Sugar 38 11 12 15 30:34 45
15 Mbeya City 38 12 9 17 33:42 45
16 Mbao 38 12 9 17 33:43 45
17 Alliance 38 11 12 15 36:48 45
18 Lipuli 38 12 8 18 43:51 44
19 Ndanda 38 9 14 15 28:35 41
20 Singida United 38 4 6 28 23:73 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2020/2021 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2019/2020 (Relegation)